09/28/2012 10:02AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday September 29th, 2012


Not quite writing this on the beach down here (keep guessing), but we are committed to our task and are churning out this column before heading down to the last of our sand and surf vacay.  Last week's Pick was close but no cigar—our "maybe" Almost English edged out our strongly closing choice Michael With Us for the runner-up spot, giving us two thirds of the nearly $300 trifecta  (our apologies for labeling it the 9th race instead of the 8th).  Overall there were 13 maiden BreezeFigs winners on the week's cards, a dozen of which were eminently playable: Four at Calder, three at Belmont, and one each at Fairplex, Laurel, Parx, Delaware and Presque Isle (winner at Charles Town was playable as well because it was a bottom claimer).  This week's card is loaded with stakes and allowances and threats of bad weather, but we've got a sneaky one, see below, good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 and now 2012 sales sheets have major changes in the NOTES section: For 2011, the OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and for 2012, the FTFFEB sale was moved to March, so it is now known as FTFMAR. Both of these changes forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales.  Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don't forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 and 2012 sheets), in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study.  The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this:  When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group.  There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box.  So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races.  Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here.

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

Here are two quickies for you this week:

Laurel Park, 5th Race, Maiden Special Weight (Turf), 5 ½ Furlongs

Miz Topgallant was scratched when we picked her a couple of weeks ago.  She is Main Track Only here and if she gets in, bet her.

Woodbine, 7th Race, Maiden Claiming (40g), 7 Furlongs (Synthetic)

Actiononthegreen has had three decent starts and drops into what looks like a solid spot for her, but we like one of three first-time BreezeFigs starters here, Soon Mia Soon.  She came out of the OBSAPR sale with a two-over-Par, Group 1 profile that featured a 24.21 foot SL, a foot longer than average that day and two feet longer than Actiononthegreen showed at KEEAPR where she was even-Par, Group 2.  Group 3 starters Joyful Cheers was four-under-Par at OBSAPR and She's Rich eight-under-Par at OBSMAR so we're going to stick with Soon Mia Soon here as a key at a price. Good luck!