09/27/2013 8:35AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, September 28 by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore


Bread and Butter lived up to her name as our Pick last week with an impressive debut victory and a fairly generous $6.20 payoff.  Indeed, the other maiden race on the Churchill card also went to a BreezeFigs first timer, Matuszak, who paid 7.80.  In fact, it was a heck of a week for BreezeFigs maidens--12 winners at seven tracks, seven of which were BreezeFigs exactas or trifectas.  Besides the ones referred to above, there was another at Churchill (an exacta), and winners at Arlington, Barretts (2, one exacta, one trifecta), Belmont, Calder, Kentucky Downs (exacta) and Parx (3, all exactas, two on the same day),  Let's see what's up on today's card, see below.  Good luck!
Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years.  First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class.  Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/Video_Links_BreezeFigs_for_2009_Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/BreezeFigs_&_Stride_Length_Study_Part_I.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigsInformation, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com

Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Churchill Downs, 3rd Race, Maiden Special Weight, Mile (Dirt)

Two graduates of OBSAPR come out here, one likely to be close to the lead (the appropriately named first-timer Hi Speed Chase) and the other a confirmed closer with a race to his credit, albeit not very good (Commanding Curve).  The former posted a three-over-Par Group 1 profile in his breeze, with a 24.65 foot stride length that was 1.40 feet longer than average for colts at one eighth that day, and was led out of the ring unsold (RNA) for 45k.  The latter was a one-over-Par Group 2 horse at a quarter mile with a 25.16 foot SL that was over a foot longer than average that day for colts at that distance.  His first race was either enigmatic or just a prep, but he should like the distance.  It may not be a cold exacta, but there might be a couple of gimmicks in there with one or both of them. Good luck!