09/24/2009 11:00PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday, September 26th


Our top Pick last week, Broken Rules, had to steady early in his debut and wasted energy before finishing fifth but that didn t prevent our two other box horses, Azadi and Lil Precious, from completing a nice $21 exacta.  Of course, the other BreezeFigs horse in the race that we did not care for, Picabo s Concho, made it interesting by closing strongly to be beaten less than a length for all the marbles at 33-to-1.  If you don t like our gimmicks, or are a pure BreezeFigs player, and used him, you would have been rewarded with a $275 Tri. Such is life.  This week s card is loaded with good horses in stakes, and interesting newcomers in maiden races, two of which we spotlight below.  Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember we ve changed our format for the 2-year-old sheet.  The 2009 sales sheet has a major addition in the SALE column: It s now labeled SALE & HIP, the HIP referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse s breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the 2009 BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08, won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the .

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: .

Here are two interesting events for today. Good luck!

Monmouth Park, , Maiden Special Weight, 5 1/2 Furlongs (Dirt)

This could be a key race for maidens and it s headed by a couple of BreezeFigs firsters from excellent barns.  We re tipping the scale to El Kingdom, who comes out of OBSMAR with a three-over-Par Group 1 profile that included a SL of 24.89 feet, almost a foot longer than average that day.  He brought $450k at that sale, which is a large chunk of change in anyone s book, but perhaps not for the connections of Lost Soul, who bought back this $375k yearling for $490k at FTFFEB where he, too, had a Group 1 profile six-over-Par but with a shorter SL of 23.61 feet. Still, it was over half-a-foot longer than average that day and was accomplished on the dirt, which is this race s surface.  These are two tough cookies to deal with if they re ready, and you could do worse than to key on one or both in your gimmicks though we lean a bit towards El Kingdom.

Turfway Park, , Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Synthetic)

This is a total toss-up with three Group 1 horses in it, but only one first-time starter, Spooky Hollow, who gets our nod.  He was a $85k RNA at OBSFEB, well under the $120k he sold for as a yearling, but he put up a good one-over-Par effort during his breeze with a SL that was exactly average for the day 24.21 feet.  Instant Message had an arguably better profile at KEEAPR with a five-over-Par performance and a 24.68 foot SL, just over average, but he hasn t impressed in his two dirt starts so far.  This one, however, is on Polytrack, which is the surface at the sale, so he might wake up here.  Papa Jiggs comes out of the OBSMAR sale where he was scratched after posting an even-Par profile with a 24.93 foot SL, almost three-quarters of a foot longer than average that day.  He s had a start over the synthetic but pooped out.  Still, he rates a shot here and along with the other two are strong gimmick plays, with the tip to Spooky Hollow.  Good luck!