09/24/2010 10:25AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday September 25th


We got totally blown out of the water last week with our Pix and we can't quite get a handle on what happened, but we licked our wounds and noted that BreezeFigs did well in other maiden races that day (three wins) and during the week (another 10 winners). So, we take a deep breath and move on. One of your correspondents is simultaneously packing for vacation as the Keeneland yearling marathon winds down as we write this, so let's get right to this week's Pick, below. Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2010 sales sheets have a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here.

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here's our Pick for Saturday. Good luck!

Belmont Park, 5th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 5½ Furlongs (Dirt)

There are six BreezeFigs colts in this race among the 11 entrants, lies, and four of them will be making their debuts. This figures to be a trip race, and if he can break better than he did in his first start, City Cool could run away with it. This OBSAPR graduate posted a 14-over-Par (that's right, fourteen) Group 1 effort at that sale at an eighth of a mile, with a 24.84 foot SL-about 1 ½ feet longer than average that day. He broke out at the start of his debut, tab him back as the key. One that he might have to fend off is Backdown, who comes out of the same sale on the same day with at the same distance, with a Group 2, four-over-Par profile that featured an equally impressive 24.68 foot SL-more than a foot above average. He could run the top one down as could Uncle Cam, who has the same trainer for different interests. This 90k RNA at KEEAPR was a Group 2, even-Par performer with a basically average SL (22.81 feet) for that sale, but he runs for the consignors and he could be a sneaky gimmick play. Hardshell was a Group 2 even-Par performer at EASMAY where he posted a 24.20 foot SL on the dirt-that's good, and he is a definite gimmick possibility. Quality Council needs to improve on his first start, and his Group 2, three-over-Par effort at FTFFEB was more speed that SL because his well below-average SL of 22.76 is not up to snuff in this crowd. Leave of Absence was a five-under-Par, Group 4 performer at FTFFEB with a SL that was more than a foot below average, but he comes from a clever outfit and could get a piece. Still, we like both City Cool and Backdown as keys for your gimmicks, and your straight plays. Good luck!