09/21/2012 9:33AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday September 22nd, 2012


We have escaped the Keeneland September Yearling Sale unharmed and now can allegedly concentrate a little more on this column.  However...one of us is getting married tonight (best wishes to Jay and Debbie) and the other is heading off for vacation, so this will be brief.  Last week's Pick at Laurel was scratched but there were three other playable BreezeFigs horses on the card who broke their maidens (at Calder, Louisiana Downs and in the other maiden race at Laurel) as well a stakes winner at Fairplex (and another the next day at the same track).  During the week another six broke their maidens (five in their first or second starts where BreezeFigs are really key), so the train rolls on.  This week's Pick is almost oxymoronic on paper, but we all know that sometimes paper gets blown away in the wind.  Still, it's a shot, see below, good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 and now 2012 sales sheets have major changes in the NOTES section: For 2011, the OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and for 2012, the FTFFEB sale was moved to March, so it is now known as FTFMAR. Both of these changes forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales.  Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don't forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 and 2012 sheets), in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study.  The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this:  When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group.  There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box.  So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races.  Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here.

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here's an interesting clash of styles and prices:

Delaware Park, 9th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs

Michael With Us comes into his debut with an OBSMAR profile that screams "play me!"  He was a Group 1, nine-over-Par graduate there with a 25.64 foot stride length over synthetic, more than two feet longer than average for colts that day.  Yet, he only sold for 57k and is 8-to-1 in the morning line.  On the other we have Almost English, who was purchased as a yearling for 160k, then run through the tonier FTFMAR sale on the dirt where his one under-Par Group 3 profile featured a stride length of only 22.81 feet, more than half-foot below average.  He was left unsold (RNA) for 275k that day.  He's 5-to-1 in the morning line.  All things considered, we think Michael With Us should fare better here and should be a key.  Good luck!