08/31/2012 10:01AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday September 1st, 2012


So, it wasn't a total loss.  Even though none of the horses we actually liked in last week's three Pix won, BreezeFigs runners in two of those races won, and each race resulted in a payoff of some sorts.  At Woodbine, Its the Rush won and three others gimmick plays we liked filled the exacta (Alert in Class), trifecta (Actiononthegreen) and superfecta (Two to Tango).  At Calder, Dafreakinheat and Cupids Messenger filled out the exacta and trifecta; and at Del Mar Pat's Back won and Rosie's Ready filled out the trifecta.  Also on last Saturday's card were two BreezeFigs exactas at Saratoga and during the week there was another one at that track as well (when "the world's next great horse" Archwarrior paid $2,50 and the exacta and trifecta returned $14 and $38, respectively).  There was also a BreezeFigs trifecta at Golden Gate.  All of these races were on the 2-year-old cards which saw 19 BreezeFigs winners during the week and several stakes winners.  The 3-year-old cards were also playable, and remember, Labor Day is the end of the 3-year-old cards, so pay attention, sometimes you never know. Today's best bet is at Del Mar, below, one of two races on the card at that track where BreezeFigs maidens look to have a great shot.  So, get the card! Good luck and have a great holiday weekend!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 and now 2012 sales sheets have major changes in the NOTES section: For 2011, the OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and for 2012, the FTFFEB sale was moved to March, so it is now known as FTFMAR. Both of these changes forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales.  Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don't forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 and 2012 sheets), in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study.  The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this:  When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group.  There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box.  So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races.  Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here.

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

Here's a potential key maiden race:

Del Mar, 5thRace, Maiden Special Weight, 5 ½ Furlongs (Synthetic)

There are two hot maiden races for fillies on this card, but the second race doesn't have any first-timers that we like (Imwiththeblonde should hammer).  The fifth race has five BreezeFigs fillies, three of which showed stride lengths longer than 25 feet in their respective breezes: Citizenship (Group 2, eight-over-Par at OBSAPR, SL 3.03 feet longer than average, my gosh!); Miss Sweet Afleet (Group 1, six-over-Par, BARMAR, a foot longer than average); and Pure Indy (Group 1, two-over-Par, BARMAR, about a foot longer than average).  All of these as well as Perfectamente (Group 1, two-over-Par, OBSMAR, but with an about average 23.32 foot SL) are first time starters.   Secret Motive, who ran well in her first start, looks like she might be a gimmick play despite her modest Group 3, three-under-Par profile at OBSAPR with a near 23 foot SL.  Our notes from the sales say that Miss Sweet Afleet might be the one to beat at this distance, but you might want to key her with Pure Indy and Citizenship. 

Good Luck!