09/17/2009 11:00PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday, September 19th


After a week during which a lot of yearlings went through the sales ring at Keeneland's September sale without finding buyers, or wound up in the hands of pinhookers at discount prices, we can look forward to an overcrowded 2-year-old sales season next year, and that will bring many more opportunities to find good betting opportunities with BreezeFigs. For now, we can chortle a bit over last week's Pix, which resulted in a $44 exacta at Arlington with our "watch the board" Pick, Petite Fuego, got home in a close one over our top choice, Donna Getyourgun. As for our other Pick, at Golden Gate, the less said the better-though there were two other BreezeFigs exactas on that card, $9 at Fairplex and $16 at Presque Isle. There were four other really playable winners on that card, so let's see what we have for you this week, below.

Before we get to the business of Pix, we remember we've changed our format for the 2-year-old sheet. There are two BreezeFigs sheets for each date, one for the 3-year-olds from the 2008 sales (to be posted through June 30th), and one for the 2-year-olds from the 2009 sales. The 2009 sales sheet has a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the 2009 BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08, won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the .

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: .

Here we go-only one today, but it could pay off. Good luck!

Philadelphia Park, , Maiden Special Weight, 5 1/2 Furlongs (Dirt)

Three of the four BreezeFigs horses entered have a shot, with the first-timer Broken Rules looking like he might be the most tempting on the morning line of 10-to-1. He comes out of the OBSAPR sale with a decent two-over-Par Group 2 profile which included a superior 25.5 foot SL, which was almost 2.5 feet longer than average for the day. He is up against a couple that have already started and done well. Azadi, was one-over-Par Group 2 at OBSMAR was achieved with a solid 24.5 foot SL-almost a foot longer than average. Lil Precious, who's likely to be the favorite, did OK at OBSMAR with a one-under-Par Group 4 profile that featured a short 22.9 foot SL that was almost three-quarters of a foot below average, but he's run second in both his starts and could hang on. Picabo's Silver was nine-under-Par at EASMAY with a fair SL but looks too slow here. If Broken Rules is ready and is not too big and clumsy, he could lead them all home and is the key to gimmicks. Good luck!