09/17/2010 8:54AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday September 18th


Not the kind of finish we liked in our Pick last week, which was a boat race on the turf where the winner ran off and hid and our choice, Elegant Finish, made up ground to finish third. It was a fairly light week for the entries as well, as the transition from Summer to Fall racing takes place and with many trainers opting to look for next year's stars at the Keeneland yearling sale (where this is being written). There were seven BreezeFigs winners last week, including three on the Saturday card, and this week's card is just packed from top to bottom with tremendous maiden and allowance and stakes opportunities. Our Pick, below, is from what we consider the toughest maiden race of the day, so start scratching your head, and good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2010 sales sheets have a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here's our Pick for Saturday. Good luck!

Parx Racing (Philadelphia Park), 6th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

They are running for a purse of $90,000 in this maiden race for fillies, and this one is totally inscrutable with seven BreezeFigs entries, four of which are Group 1 and three Group 2. Three have started before-Hard Rock Candy (Group 1, three starts, second each time), Rockport Star (Group 1, one start, fourth), and Empire Diva (Group 2, one start, third). Each of them has a legitimate chance and one of them is likely to go off a favorite-Hard Rock Candy-so we will concentrate on the firsters. By far the one to watch is Nashway, a nine-over-Par, Group 1 performer at OBSAPR where she showed a superior 25.5 foot stride length at an eighth of a mile, two and a half feet longer than average for the day-and failed to be sold, being RNA'd for 24k. Still, she can motor, and with a ton of speed in this race is a very good key play here. Daring Reality was three-over-Par and a Group 2 at the same sale, but with a much shorter and below-average SL (22.64 feet, almost a foot short of average), at a quarter mile, and has her work cut out for her. Wildcat Times put up a three-over-Par, Group 1 card at EASMAY, on the dirt, where her 23.79 SL was a third of a foot above average. One Punch Knockout was a Group 2, one-over-Par performer at OBSAPR and she breezed the same distance on the same day as Nashway with a SL that was almost a foot longer than average, so she has got some credentials. However, we still think if you key Nashway with Hard Rock Candy and Rockport Star and possibly Wildcat Times as your back-ups, this could be a nice payday. Good luck!