09/10/2010 10:52AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday September 11th


Once again our selection for last week's card was trumped by other races at the same track-as we explained, we go for the races with intriguing first-time starters in this column, and our choice, Under Wraps in the third at Del Mar ran like her name. However, on the same card in the sixth race, two BreezeFigs horses who'd already started (May Day Rose and Candid Ride) finished one-two for a nice $24 exacta and an even nicer $39 quinella. Two races later in the Grade 1 Debutante, Tell a Kelly, Wickedly Perfect and Rigoletta rang up a $412 BreezeFigs trifecta. There are always some gems on the BreezeFigs card, so pay attention and pick and choose. Today, we came up with a lucky break on opening day at Belmont Park-a totally impossible race. See below, and good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2010 sales sheets have a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here's our Pick for Saturday at Belmont Park. Good luck!

Belmont Park, 2nd Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Turf)

Nothing is worse to handicap than a turf sprint maiden race for babies, and this one qualifies very well. Three BreezeFigs horses are entered, but the (in)elegantly named Cash for Clunkers is main-track only, and it ain't going to rain Saturday. So, we are left with a couple of conundrum horses. Penny's Boat chalked up a two-over-Par, Group1 profile at OBSAPR where she was reported as sold for $45k-but the PPs have her, in effect, as an RNA by listing her as a $20k sale as a yearling at KEESEP. That's enough to make us want to scratch our heads, but she did come in with a basically average stride-length of 23.05 feet on the synthetic, and should be considered a gimmick play here. On the other hand we have Elegant Finish, who has the distinction of two BreezeFigs lines on the card because she is one of the few who was not sold at one sale (an RNA at 62k at OBSMAR) and then wheeled back in another, where she was sold for $120k at EASMAY. She was a Group 2 at both sales but had very different stride lengths. On synthetic at OBSMAR she was two-over-Par on her BreezeFigs, but more than 1.3 feet below average on her stride length (22.27 feet). On dirt at the same distance at EASMAY, she was three-over-Par and showed a 24.51 foot SL, which was a foot above average for fillies that day. Now, she's in on the weeds. She might take some money, watch the board, and consider using her as your key. Good luck!