10/08/2010 10:32AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday October 9th


Nothing's worse for a handicapper (or owner and trainer) than to watch your horse settle in nicely and when ready to pounce fall completely apart. That's what happened with our Pick last week, Titian, who said bye-bye to our hopes with a stinker in his debut. Still, there were a half-dozen winners on that card last week at Calder, Charles Town, Hollywood, Philadelphia, Suffolk and Turfway-and most of them figured on either BreezeFigs, PP's or level of competition, or a combination thereof. Today's card is loaded with allowances, stakes and a few maidens, and we have found a first-time starter in a cheap race that might do at a price, see below. Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2010 sales sheets have a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here.

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here's our Pick for Saturday. Good luck! Philadelphia Park, 4thRace, Maiden Claiming (12,500), 5 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)

The ones who have started here are decidedly slow, so if Son of Posse puts in a performance that is remotely close to his OBSAPR Group 1 profile, he should air, even from the outside post. He was five-over-Par there with a 24.07 foot SL, which was about a quarter foot above average for colts breezing a quarter that day. He sold for 20k, and is making his debut for his owner-trainer at a bottom tag of 12.5k, so there obviously are a few issues to deal with here. But if he can lay back from that post to gain momentum and then extend himself with that stride, he might prove to be a nice ticket home. Good luck!