10/07/2011 1:31PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday October 7th


Not only did we hit it right with one of our Pix in the same race last week—an impressive debut win by Coach Sickie and $14.20—but also 19 other BreezeFigs horses broke their maidens during the week, 18 of which were absolutely playable and the other racing in such a low level that it was also worth a bet.  Of those an even dozen were making their first or second starts and most of the payoffs were nice, indeed.  The action was spread out all over the place: Belmont (2), Calder (3, including the low level one), Delaware, Hoosier, Mountaineer, Parx (3), Presque Isle, Santa Anita (2), Suffolk (2), Turfway (2) and Woodbine (2).  This week’s card has several intriguing plays including the Grade 1 Champagne loaded with BreezeFigs horses—but we’ll stick with a maiden special on opening Saturday at Keeneland, see below. Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 sales sheets have a major change in the NOTES section: The OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and that forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales.  Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don’t forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 sheets), in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study.  The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this:  When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group.  There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box.  So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races.  Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

Here’s our Pick for Saturday:

Keeneland, 4th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 7 Furlongs, (Synthetic)

Three BreezeFigs fillies are entered in what may eventually turn out to be a key race—two have started (Trading Paint and Annaclone) and done well enough to suggest this is a quality bunch.  Possible favorite Trading Paint turned in a strong effort first time out at Saratoga, suggesting her Group 1, six-over-Par profile at OBSMAR was no fluke; her 23.67 foot SL there was about half a foot longer than average on synthetic.  Annaclone has started twice at Delaware and shown good form against good fillies on dirt, a surface that helped her to a Group 2, four-over-Par profile at EASMAY; her 25.26 foot SL at the sale was more than two feet longer than average, and there is some evidence that a switch to synthetic can sometimes help horses like her.  The first-timer here is Indyniable, who threw in a solid Group 1, four-over-Par performance on this track at KEEAPR where her 24.49 foot SL was a foot longer than average.  She is in clever hands, as are all the fillies in this race, and is definitely one to consider as a gimmick key here.  This should be fun to watch if not challenging to bet.  Good luck!