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Messed up a bit last week with our Pix in mistakenly noting that Miz Topgallant was MTO in a turf race—but she ran very well to be third in a very fast race as did the winner, another solid BreezeFigs filly, Chelsea Road, who paid $6.00 to kick off a $370 trifecta. For the life of us we have no idea how the four-under-Par Joyful Kisses won the race at Woodbine, especially at short odds, but our Pick, Soon Mia Soon, ran very well to be fifth in a blanket finish for the place. Today's card has 51 horses on it, many of them in stakes races, but there are intriguing maiden opportunities including one off the beaten path that we've found, see below, good luck!
Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 and now 2012 sales sheets have major changes in the NOTES section: For 2011, the OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and for 2012, the FTFFEB sale was moved to March, so it is now known as FTFMAR. Both of these changes forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales. Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.
Also, don't forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 and 2012 sheets), in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.
The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.
Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.
If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.
Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here.
If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.
Here's one to consider today:
Hoosier Park, 6th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)
Love My Life comes into her second start as the favorite off a solid effort in her debut which reflected well on her two-over-Par, Group 1 profile at EASMAY where her 22.95 foot SL was about a quarter foot below average, and where she also failed to sell (RNA's at 120k). She might get some competition, however, from first-time starter Shanghai Princess whose Group 2, four-over-Par profile at OBSAPR was highlighted by a 23.67 foot SL, a foot longer than average. Hard Secret was scratched after breezing at FTFMAR where her three-under-Par, Group 3 profile has been basically confirmed by her form to date. The top two might not return a heck of a price, but they should get you something to spend later—and we'd key Shanghai Princess to get a bigger payoff. Good luck!
DRF entries show this race to be the 2nd not the 6th
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Best Bets
ONE NINE NINE raced quite wide en route to a commendable second behind future stakes winner Man Stuff the only time she saw action last spring. She wintered at Payson Park before working four times here on the Poly, and should be ready to rumble with Da Silva riding for a live barn. GLORIOUS ANGEL ran against a speed bias when fifth in an April 21 maiden special. Trainer Mark Casse hit with 20% of his second-out droppers to maiden-claiming company over the past five years ($1.50 ROI). MORNING HAS BROKEN was a chalky second vs.
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