10/03/2013 11:00PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, October 5 by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore


Our Pick last week, which was essentially a gimmick play, saw Commanding Curve save us with a strong second place finish to complete a fairly generous $22 exacta, considering the winner was 4-to-5.  Our other gimmick play, Hi Speed Chase, lived up to his name before running out of gas to finish fourth—completing a $252 trifecta if you’d boxed our Pix with the two favorites.  It was a pretty special week for BreezeFigs maidens across the country, however, as 19 of them won, including six which kicked off BreezeFigs exactas.  These wins came at Arlington (exacta), Belmont (five, including an exacta), Calder (exacta), Charles Town, Delaware, Gulfstream (two, including an exacta), Hastings, Mountaineer, Parx (two), Remington, Santa Anita (two, both exactas), and Woodbine. In addition both Grade 1 races at Santa Anita fell to BreezeFigs horses, both paid $23, and one, Bond Holder, was among the 19th maidens who won and he hooked up with the second place finisher for another BreezeFigs exacta.  Today's card is loaded with all sorts of goodies as Keeneland opens, though we found an interesting choice elsewhere, see below. Good luck!
Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years.  First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class.  Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/Video_Links_BreezeFigs_for_2009_Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/BreezeFigs_&_Stride_Length_Study_Part_I.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigsInformation, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com

Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Belmont Park, 6th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 1 1/16 Miles (Dirt)
These October one-turn 1 1/16 mile maiden races at Belmont often turn up an interesting prospect for the three-year-old stakes and this one has some pretenders who could make this a key race.  However, we think that of the three BreezeFigs horses Rare Eagle is the one to watch.  He easily registered a one-over-Par Group 2 rating at OBSAPR where his 25.20 stride length was 1.28 longer than the average for colts that day at a quarter mile.  He is bred to go the distance and is the one we’d key here.  Of the other two, Franked may be a decent gimmick play despite his one-under-Par Group 3 profile at KEEAPR, and his well-below-average (1.15 feet) 22.73 foot SL that day.  Tightly Bridled has had two opportunities so far to show the 24-plus foot stride lengths he displayed at both FTFMAR (Group 2, scratched after breezing) and EASMAY (Group 1, sold for 330k.)  He's failed both times but stopped in one race and had a couple of issues in the other.  Maybe a gimmick play.  But we like Rare Eagle as the key. Good luck!