10/26/2012 9:52AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday October 27th, 2012


Logical horse, Nonnie Connie, came home as we expected in our Pick last week with first-timer Lisalisalee completing the trifecta.  It was a good week with a dozen BreezeFigs horses breaking their maidens across the country including both maiden races at Hawthorne on Wednesday and two of the three at Woodbine on Sunday.  There were two winners at Santa Anita (one BreezeFigs exacta), and other winners at Golden Gate, Mountaineer, Delta Downs, Laurel and Penn National.  That's spreading the cheer, if not the wealth. Today's card is somewhat weak on first-timers, but we found two interesting challenges, see below.  Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 and now 2012 sales sheets have major changes in the NOTES section: For 2011, the OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and for 2012, the FTFFEB sale was moved to March, so it is now known as FTFMAR. Both of these changes forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales.  Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don't forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 and 2012 sheets), in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study.  The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this:  When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group.  There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box.  So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races.  Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here.

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

Here are two to consider today:

Calder Racecourse, 3rd Race, Maiden Special Weight,, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

E B Ryder has the rail (not so good if you're not so fast) but a good profile at OBSAPR where she scored a five-over-Par Group 2 BreezeFigs profile at one eighth with a 25.04 foot SL, which was 1.87 feet longer than average for fillies that day.  She may not be the most fluid mover, but she also is in good hands and might do it.  Peekytoes comes out of the same sale with a decidedly different profile: Group 4, four-under-Par, 22.11 foot SL, which was three-quarters of a foot below average.  She might be a gimmick play, nothing else.

Santa Anita Park, 2nd Race, Maiden Special Weight,, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

In addition to Caballo Del Cielo and Manando, Group 2 horses at BARMAR and OBSMAR who have already started and run well, there is a "mystery horse" in here. That would be Mr. Sexy who breezed at OBSMAR and earned a two-over-Par Group 2 rating and was reported as sold for 150k; and who then came back and breezed again at EASMAY and earned a one-under-Par Group 3 rating with a shorter SL and was sold for 125k.  Red flag, watch out, play the other two.  Good luck!