10/24/2013 11:00PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, October 26 by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore


We had our suspicions last week and documented them about our top Pick, Fidelity, who ran like she has some issues somewhere, but at least our “gimmick saver”, Stately Defense, came through—and won the race.  She was one of 14 BreezeFigs maidens to win last week across the country including a stone-cold BreezeFigs trifecta the same day at Santa Anita—albeit with a paltry $17.40 payoff for a buck.  There were also two BreezeFigs stakes winners at Belmont Park who appeared on the cards, in  addition to a maiden winner at that track.  There were four at Santa Anita, two each at Gulfstream and Woodbine, and solos at Golden Gate, Keeneland, Meadowlands, Remington, and Zia Park, so the opportunities are everywhere. Today’s Pick might be obvious, but we couldn’t resist, see below. Good luck!
Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years.  First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class.  Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/Video_Links_BreezeFigs_for_2009_Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/BreezeFigs_&_Stride_Length_Study_Part_I.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigsInformation, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here:www.biodatatrack.com.

Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Keeneland, 4th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
This meeting has been all Kenneth and Sarah Ramsey and their homebreds by their stallion Kitten’s Joy, whose offspring have gone wild here.  This race features the debut of one they didn’t keep, Katura, whose four-over-Par Group 1 profile at OBSAPR featured a 24.93 foot stride length—1.86 feet longer than average for fillies and one furlong that da—and she was sold for $240k. There’s also another one in the race, Gina’s Kitten, who was not bred by the Ramseys, and her five-under-Par Group 4 profile at the same sale at the same distance is reflected in her modest debut.  The same can be said for The Conception, whose three-under-Par Group 4 profile proved out in her debut, though she improved when moved to the weeds next out (both of these two had SLs of under 22 feet).  Even though it’s likely that Katura’s 5-to-1 morning line odds are going to be pounded down by post time, she’s the obvious Pick here and the other two might be modest gimmick plays. Good luck!