10/23/2008 11:00PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday, October 25th


Our Pick last week, Osage County, almost did us really proud by closing fast to just fall short but completed a $56 exacta which surprised us for its generosity. With the Breeders’ Cup on the tab for Saturday, we are surprised at how many BreezeFigs plays there are on the cards across the country—and 19 of the 35 maidens entered are first-time starters There are also some BreezeFigs horses in the two Breeders’ Cup Juvenile stakes on both days, but we will pass those races by in favor of one for maidens noted below. So sign up for DRF-Plus and get the card on the front page of .

Remember, there’s a new look to our sheets for the sales of 2008—we have added SURFACE as a new category to tell you whether the horse breezed on a dirt (D) or synthetic (S) track. There are four (S) sales this year—OBSFEB, OBSMAR, OBSAPR and KEEAPR; and three D sales—FTFFEB, BARMAR and EASMAY. Just to add some more insight to your handicapping.

Also, our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PUS box in the right hand column on the home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the .

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: .

Here’s a race that’s got a real outside shot to make you some money on today’s card—take a close look and good luck!

Belmont Park, , Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

This is a field full of tony pedigrees and pricey yearlings and 2-year-olds, but there are five first-time BreezeFigs horses in here, one of which could throw a big number up on the tote board, and three others that could sneak in for a gimmick price. The outside horse, Storm Door, had a nine-over-Par Group 2 profile at OBSAPR, which is not the priciest of the sales but he showed a superior 25-foot SL at ¼ mile that day (more than two feet longer than average for that sale) and looks like he might be able to swoop by them all in the last few yards with the right trip. He’s worth at least a gimmick play and the board should tell you whether to play him straight. Musket Man, who was a 35k RNA at EASMAY, was two-under-Par with a Group 3 profile at that sale, but showed a 24-foot SL that was a foot longer than the average. Pitched Perfect and Sal Paradise both come out of the top-level FTFFEB sale with similar Group 4 profiles—a little under Par, right around average in SL, and they, along with Musket Man, need to be considered as gimmick plays as well. Brindle Stick had a poor profile at OBSAPR and looks overmatched. This is a very tough race, but it’s worth playing in the gimmicks and if you like him, go to town on Storm Door.