10/17/2008 12:00AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday, October 18th


Nice little $26 exacta at Golden Gate was the result of our lone pick last week, and the one we really liked, Low Expectations, paid a surprisingly short $8.20 to win. So we look toward this week with a bit more confidence, a feeling bolstered by the fact that there were 15 additional BreezeFigs-qualified winners across the country last week. They included a $29 firster at Keeneland who was an RNA-never overlook the BreezeFigs card because these horses do not appear in the PP's as having breezed at 2-year-old sales. In fact, this week's Pix hones in on that angle again. So sign up for DRF-Plus and get the card on the front page of

Remember, there's a new look to our sheets for the sales of 2008-we have added SURFACE as a new category to tell you whether the horse breezed on a dirt (D) or synthetic (S) track. There are four (S) sales this year-OBSFEB, OBSMAR, OBSAPR and KEEAPR; and three D sales-FTFFEB, BARMAR and EASMAY. Just to add some more insight to your handicapping.

Also, our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-Plus box in the right hand column on the home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF-Plus box on the

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up withBreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: .

Here’s a race that's buried on card filled with stakes, allowance and maiden races-take a look and good luck!

Hawthorne, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

Two colts in this maiden race come out of three sales (yes, that's right, look at the card) with two different profiles. Osage County is the one who throws you off here. He was a Group 1 at BARMAR with a six-over-Par profile at 1/8 mile that showed he had a SL more than a foot longer than average-but he was a 145k RNA at that sale. He was wheeled back two months later at EASMAY where he was actually sold as appears in your PP's for ten grand less than his RNA price at BARMAR. Go figure. In any case, he was just as good at EASMAY where he achieved a Group 1 at a quarter mile, five over Par and with a higher than average SL again. He looked like he was probably short in his off-the-turf debut, and turns back to six panels here and should be seriously considered. Dirt Farmer has a little lower profile but he is still something to kick into your computes because he did OK at the pricey FTFFEB sale where he achieved a decent one-under-Par Group 3 BreezeFig, but his SL was shorter than average. He was withdrawn after the breeze and never went through the ring (SCR), so maybe something happened to him. In any case, though his debut stunk, he's worth considering in the gimmicks.