10/14/2011 4:30PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday October 15th


Word to the wise: If our Pick of the week is at a track with more than one BreezeFigs opportunity, don’t overlook the others.  Because we like to concentrate on first-time starters here, we did not choose the other race at Keeneland which looked playable, and in that one, the BreezeFigs horse Indymine, making her third start, won and paid five bucks.  Our Pix finished second, fourth and seventh in the fourth race.  However, there were some interesting gimmicks during the week in which more than a dozen maiden BreezeFigs winners came home.  In a low level maiden claimer at Charles Town on the Wednesday, Amazon Queen kicked off a BreezeFigs exacta and trifecta with an $11 payoff, and the gimmicks were worth $56 and over $1,000.  On Thursday, something rare indeed happened in the third at Calder:  The five BreezeFigs horses finished 1-2-3-4-5 in order of their BreezeFigs profiles, and the payoffs were justifiably low, but cashable. Today we have an interesting solo for you, see below.  Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 sales sheets have a major change in the NOTES section: The OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and that forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales.  Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don’t forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 sheets), in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study.  The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this:  When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group.  There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box.  So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races.  Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

Here’s our Pick for Saturday:

Belmont Park, 2nd Race, Maiden Special Weight, Mile (Turf)

One BreezeFigs colt scheduled to line up here and he may be a good one—and he will be played.  Festive Spirit had a three-over-Par Group 1 profile at FTFFEB where his 24.40 SL was just above average on the dirt that day.  Here the son of Malibu Moon goes on the weeds in his debut and he looks like he might be able to take charge from the start or mow them down.  If it rains and he stays in on the dirt, he’s eminently playable as well.  You won’t get much of a return, but this is potentially a very nice racehorse.  Good luck!