10/11/2013 12:00AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, October 12 by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore


For a while there it looked like our Pic, last week, Rare Eagle, was running in Floral Park rather than in Elmont, that's how far behind the field he was until the quarter pole.  But without changing leads until the sixteenth pole, he managed to get up for third and complete a $519 trifecta as our "key." Of course, if you didn't include the first two finishers you were out of luck but he still paid $13.60 to show and he is a horse to watch as the distances lengthen. Ten BreezeFigs 2-year-olds broke their maidens last week, and two that were on the card won Grade 1 stakes (My Conquistadory and Havana). The winners were scattered as usual—Belmont, Calder (an exacta), Charles Town, Delaware (two),  Keeneland (two), Laurel, Northlands and Santa Anita (two).  Huge card today, might be a good opportunity to make a score, see below. Good luck!
Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years.  First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class.  Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/Video_Links_BreezeFigs_for_2009_Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/BreezeFigs_&_Stride_Length_Study_Part_I.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigsInformation, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Keeneland, 7th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Synthetic)
Two of the fillies in this field racked up impressive BreezeFigs profiles at the sales, with Toni's Hollyday doing so right on this track at KEEAPR—Group 1, seven-over-Par, 25.20 foot stride length, more than a foot and a half longer than average for fillies.  However, she disappointed in her debut, which came on a completely different surface at Churchill (dirt), and it will be interesting to see how she handles the synthetic once again.  On the other hand, T.R. Indy makes her debut here off a long string of works following her Group 1, five-over-Par performance at FTFMAR where she showed a slightly longer than average 24.03 foot SL—on the dir—and now she tries synthetict. We were more impressed with the way she moved than we were with Toni’s Hollyday, but this race is so crowded with unknowns that we might use both of them in gimmicks, and they should be at decent prices. Good luck!