11/06/2009 12:00AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday, November 7th


Our Hallowe'en special turned out to be a real treat both our Pix got off to bad starts and had traffic trouble, one recovered to win (Our Repent, $12.80) and the other (Odysseus) completed a $150 exacta, paying $9.60 to place and $5.50 to show.  There were four other BreezeFigs winners on that card and 13 more in the week that followed, at virtually every track.  This week, we're going to give you one BreezeFigs maiden pick, and our insights into both Breeders' Cup programs based on BreezeFigs and other video analysis that we do.  It's all at the bottom of this column as usual good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, we remember we've changed our format for the 2-year-old sheet. The 2009 sales sheet has a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the HIP referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the 2009 BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what qualified BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PUS box in the right hand column on the home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08, won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the .

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: .

Here's our Pix for today. Good luck!

Calder Race Course, , Maiden Claiming ($16,000), 6 1/2 Furlongs (Dirt)

From the classiest to the bottom rung we help you close out Breezers' Cup day with a bottom maiden claimer that attracted our eye because a first-timer here looks OK Mojave.  He comes out of EASMAY (also on the dirt) where he was scratched after posting a four-over-Par Group 2 profile with a 25.05 foot SL almost a foot and a half above average for that day.  He is likely to get some noise from both Kara's Orientation and Macho Prince, both of whom bombed out in their debuts, though the latter at a much higher level back in August.  Still, they were both Group 1 horses at KEEAP and OBSAPR, respectively, with longer-than-average SLs, so you can look to these three to top your gimmick plays.  The other BreezeFigs horse in here, Briscat, ran to his very modest OBSAPR Group 4 profile in his debut and would be a distinct surprise here.

Breeders' Cup Spot Plays

We've gone through all our BreezeFigs data from the past few years, and also looked up some horses that we analyzed in actual races under BreezeFigs standards and other biomechanical technologies that we use, and have come up with some random spot plays for the two-day Breeders' Cup event.  Here's what we think and what you might consider.  Best of luck it's a very difficult couple of cards.


Marathon: Black Astor is our lone selection, use on top and in gimmicks

Juvenile Fillies Turf: If she gets in, use Dad's Crazy with Rose Catherine in your gimmicks, otherwise Rose Catherine looks good all around.

Juvenile Fillies:  Extremely tough race with Blind Luck, Devil May Care, She Be Wild, Miss Vanezza and Negligee all getting high marks from us, but we'll go with Negligee, Miss Vanezza and Blind Luck as the keys, with Negligee to upset.

Filly & Mare Turf:  We'll stick with old reliable Forever Together as a gimmick key.

Filly & Mare Sprint:  Tough one again, but Informed Decision and Sara Louise stick out here, though you might want to back one or both up with Game Face and/or Seventh Street.


Sprint: Easiest pick of the day Zensational, but back him up with Fatal Bullet.

Juvenile: We actually like Aikenite's profile better than Lookin At Lucky's, and would complete the gimmick with Noble's Promise.

Classic:  This race is a mess virtually every horse has something going for him (or, her) and something to knock.  But we think the horse that will be around at the end in any gimmick play will be Regal Ransom.  Huh?  Hey, you never know!  Good luck!