11/04/2011 9:16AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday November 5th


Our Pick last week, Gun Island, was scratched but came back the next day in the same condition and got off to a slow start and finished last.  Such is life.  The weather played havoc with a number of cards this week, but an eminently playable BreezeFigs trifecta in the first at Churchill on Sunday (Unbridled’s Note, In Jeopardy, Next Right Thing)  resulted in $12.40, $261.80, and $677.20 win, exacta and trifecta payoffs, respectively.  There are quite a few BreezeFigs horses running in juvenile races on both Breeders’ Cup cards Friday and Saturday, including some right there on the card which have yet to make four starts, and others that have already made more starts and therefore don’t appear on our sheets.  Our maiden race of the week is below. Enjoy the day and best of luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 sales sheets have a major change in the NOTES section: The OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and that forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales.  Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don’t forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 sheets), in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study.  The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this:  When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group.  There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box.  So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races.  Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

Here’s our Pick for Saturday:

Santa Anita, 6th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 5 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)

Four BreezeFigs colts line up here, three of which have already started and the other one a first timer with an even-Par scorecard at OBSMAR who starts from the far outside but may be able to get up if not used too early.  That would be Boat Trip, whose Group 2 performance at that sale featured a 24.60 foot SL, which was .69 foot longer than average for the day.  He is joined by Midnight Transfer, whose five-over-Par Group 2 scorecard at KEEAPR has not helped him in his first two starts, both of which resulted in trouble lines.  His 23.01 foot SL was .68 foot shorter than average at that sale.  Hodge threw in a promising effort in his debut but was cooked in a speed duel despite his three-over-Par, Group 2 effort at OBSAPR where his 24.24 foot SL was well over a foot longer than average, but still shorter than Boat Trip’s on the same track a month earlier. Bling Cha Bling is back for his third start sporting two decent tries at short distances and a three-under-Par Group 3 effort at BARMAR where his 24.79 foot SL was just about average.  It’s not a brilliant field, but you might want to concentrate on Boat Trip and Hodge in your gimmicks.  Good luck!