11/03/2017 10:08AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, November 4, 2017, by Bob Fierro & Jay Kilgore


The less said about our Pick last week the better—the race itself was weird and our choice, Gold Zipper, looked to have stopped too suddenly for any good news to come out of it. The results for the week elsewhere, however, were super. There were 20 BreezeFigs 2-year-old maidens who won, four of them leading off BreezeFigs exactas and two heading BreezeFigs trifectas. These winners came at Belmont (three, including a BreezeFigs trifecta); Churchill (three, including a BreezeFigs exacta); Gulfstream West (three, all on the same day); Laurel (two); Mahoning Valley; Parx (three, including a BreezeFigs exacta); and Santa Anita (five, including two BreezeFigs exactas on the same day and a BreezeFigs trifecta on another day). The Breeders’ Cup BreezeFigs starters look competitive but none of them, nor others on the card, are first time starters, so we looked elsewhere. We came up with an intriguing exacta play for you to ponder, see below. Good luck!

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.

Here’s Saturday’s Pick:

Churchill Downs, 7th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

Third time starter Royal Creed is going to be bet off the board in this one, and he deserved it based on his seven-over-Par Group 1 profile at OBSAPR where his 24.52 foot stride length (SL) was a bit over half-a-foot longer than average for colts that day at a furlong. He had trouble in his first start on yielding turf at Kentucky Downs and then was disappointing in his second start on the dirt, but this is a nice colt and should be in all your gimmicks.  However, the other BreezeFigs colt in here, Zip Your Lip, who is making his debut, should not be treated like chopped liver. He punched a three-over-Par Group 2 ticket at EASMAY where his 24.13 foot SL was about an eighth-of-a-foot longer than average for colts that day at a quarter mile. He may not be all that ready and will have to deal with the outside post, but if he gets in he could be a very nice gimmick play with Royal Creed. Good luck!