11/27/2009 12:00AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday, November 28th


Probably nothing is more frustrating to a handicapper than to basically pick the gimmick but choose the wrong keys, which happened to us last week when three of the four BreezeFigs horses in our Pix completed a fairly healthy bunch of payoffs at Hollywood Park. Unfortunately, the one we really liked, Mister Do It, finished second (at 28-to-1) to one we thought would be a gimmick saver, Camp Victory, who paid $12.60 to win. The one we really didn t care for, Nostalgic Bid, was third at 16-to-1 and our pick, Do What U Dare, went off as second choice at 5-to-2 and stunk out the joint. Still, you may have collected on these plays, and if you did, hope you can do it again this week on a card that s loaded with allowance, winning claimers, and stakes races. But we found a maiden race we like, and it s all below.

Before we get to the business of Pix, we remember we've changed our format for the 2-year-old sheet. The 2009 sales sheet has a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the HIP referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the 2009 BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08, won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the .

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: .

Here s our Pick for today. Good luck!

Churchill Downs, , Maiden Special Weight, 1 1/16 Miles (Dirt)

There are two pricey dudes in this event that had relatively unimpressive debuts but who look like they can redeem themselves today. Hurricane Hal blew the doors off at BARMAR with a seven-over-Par, Group 1 performance that featured a SL that was close to 27 feet long. Egad. Even for a big horse which he is that s serious sky-miles territory and maybe he didn t like the turf in his debut. With his connections, the board has to be watched here. Ink, who was considerably more down-to-earth with his one-under-Par, Group 3 profile at OBSMAR, showed a near 25-foot SL in that performance and showed speed before getting mauled in his first start. Both of these are good gimmick plays, and you might want to put saver straight bets on them depending on the odds. Good luck!