11/26/2010 12:46PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday November 27th


We sincerely hope that you had a joyous and fully stuffed Thanksgiving-and if you played the BreezeFigs card on Turkey Day, you would have had the opportunity to have seven winners from the 12 maiden races on the card-two each at Calder and Laurel, and one each at Churchill, Fair Grounds and Golden Gate. That gave us 14 winners for the week, including two nice payoffs last Saturday at Calder even though our own Pick at Monmouth, Solid Guy, was scratched. This Saturday features the annual all-baby day at Churchill Downs, and we've selected one of their maiden races for you to peruse and possibly plunder (below). Have fun and a good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2010 sales sheets have a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here.

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here's our Pick for Saturday:
Churchill Downs, 8th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 1 1/8 Miles (Turf)

There are four BreezeFigs horses in this one, one of which, Extended Family, is on the dirt-only list and he is a Group 4 with basically no shot in our opinion. If it stays on the grass, the two outside horses, Courteous Intent and Garryowen, are first-timers who look like they can get into the mix at the end. Of the two, we'd key in on Garryowen, who comes out of the EASMAY sale with a solid five-over-par Group 1 profile that featured a 24.95 foot SL at 1/8 mile, which was 1.36 feet longer than average on a half-mile dirt track. Courteous Intent had a solid two-over-Par Group 2 profile at OBSAPR where he checked in with a 24.44 foot SL, which was .85 feet above average for 1/8 mile on synthetic. The other BreezeFigs horse, Malibu Rhythm, comes out of the tonier KEEAPR sale with an even-par Group 2 profile on synthetic-but that hasn't translated into much form in two starts on that surface and turf. In big fields things can happen, but both Garryowen and Courteous Intent look to be solid gimmick plays-in fact, the board might tell you which one could be a key.

Good luck!