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BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday November 24, 2012
In as courageous a finish as we’ve seen all month, Lady Rosamond, one of our keys in the Pick last week, held on to grab a victory in the last stride in a three-horse photo after battling most of the way with another BreezeFigs filly, Sweet Sense, who was third in that photo—resulting in a $106 trifecta for a buck. The week was pretty good all around with 14 BreezeFigs maiden winners, one of which (at Hawthorne) was not exactly a standout on BreezeFigs but who ran cheaply enough to be considered. The other 13 came at Aqueduct (4), BetFair Hollywood and Churchill (3 each), Calder (2), and Laurel, which closed out the week on Thanksgiving with a somewhat improbable $50 BreezeFigs exacta with a Group 2 beating a Group 4 to the wire. This week, we welcome Fair Grounds back to the fold, and go there for our Pick, see below. Good luck!
Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 and now 2012 sales sheets have major changes in the NOTES section: For 2011, the OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and for 2012, the FTFFEB sale was moved to March, so it is now known as FTFMAR. Both of these changes forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales. Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.
Also, don’t forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 and 2012 sheets), in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.
The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/Video_Links_BreezeFigs_for_2009_Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.
Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.
If you click here http://www.drf.com/BreezeFigs/BreezeFigs_&_Stride_Length_Study_Part_I.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.
Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.
Here’s today’s Pick:
Fair Grounds, 8th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)
The purpose of this column is to find a race where one or more first-time BreezeFigs starters look like they can sneak over at a nice mutual and today’s card, while loaded with races, doesn’t feature many in that category. The one which might, however, features I’m in to Happy, who may not have been the most fluid mover when he racked up a Group 1, four-over-Par profile at OBSAPR (judge for yourself on the video, see instructions above), but who looks like he might have a shot against this bunch. This colt displayed a 24.52 foot SL during his one-furlong breeze, which was more than a foot longer than average for colts that day, so he’s got the potential to sit there and mow them down at the end. He’s 12-to-1 in the morning line and might be worth a nibble or bite, depending on what the board says. Good luck!
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