11/13/2009 12:00AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday, November 14th


Our Breeders' Cup specials didn't turn out to be all that terrific, but our BreezeFigs Pix set off fireworks at Calder when our solid gimmick plays, Macho Prince and Kara's Orientation, finished first ($54) and third (at 10-to-1), respectively, for a $2,800 trifecta with the favorite. Our top pick, Mojave, punked out on us with a puzzling race, but the other two hopefully saved some of the day for you as well. There were a total of 15 BreezeFigs maiden winners last week across the country on days when very few maiden races were run, including a trifecta at Fair Grounds and cold exactas at Laurel and Calder. This week's spotlight is on a card that could be affected by weather, but we couldn't resist the challenge. See below.

Before we get to the business of Pix, we remember we've changed our format for the 2-year-old sheet. The 2009 sales sheet has a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the HIP referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the 2009 BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what qualified BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08, won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the .

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: .

Here's our Pick for today. Good luck!

Aqueduct, , Maiden Special Weight, 6 1/2 Furlongs (Dirt)

With the weather a dicey prospect at this time, we'll still go with a race that has eight (yes, eight) BreezeFigs horses among the 11 entrants. This looks like it could be a key race if the track is in decent condition, but it's certainly inscrutable as far as the BreezeFigs horses are concerned. Double O Uno has the best profile with a Group 1, five-over-Par showing at OBSFEB, and his almost 26-foot SL was certainly impressive but he's stunk out the joint in both his starts and needs to improve. Deflationary Fears is a weird one he is listed as a 100k yearling purchase in the PP's, but actually went through two 2-year-old sales: He was a Group 2 horse with a solid profile at OBSFEB, but was bought back (RNA) for 47k, then was wheeled back at OBSAPR where he had an almost identical Group 2 profile, was listed at the sale as sold for 90k, but that may have been an RNA as well. Still, he comes from a seriously crafty first-out barn and despite his name, the board must be watched. Quay Lime Guy had a solid FTFFEB Group 2 profile, has one very good start in the slop, and might go off the favorite here. The Director, a 750k yearling purchased, breezed at FTFFEB where he was OK, but not as good as Quay Lime Guy, and was scratched before going through the ring mystery horse from another crafty outfit, which also has Magic Lion entered. The latter was also scratched after breezing at the same sale, but he came up short with a one-under-Par, Group 3 performance and has not impressed mightily in his two starts. Known Gambler put on a decent show at OBSFEB where he was just one-under-Par with a just-above-average SL and could sneak in here for a piece. Big City Deputy was three-under-Par at EASMAY and looks a bit dicey in this situation, while Forty Prayers, a five-under-Par Group 4 horse at OBSMAR, showed OK in his debut in lesser company, out of which he was claimed, but looks over his head here as well. Boiling it all down, we think Quay Lime Guy is the obvious play, but would back him up with Deflationary Fears and throw the kitchen sink in underneath. Good luck!