11/10/2017 10:19AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, November 11, 2017, by Bob Fierro & Jay Kilgore


Sort of a quiet week for BreezeFigs maidens but eight graduates did place in a variety of stakes around the country, including one in a Breeders’ Cup race. Our Pick last week, Zip Your Lip, stopped on a dime while our back-up gimmick play, Royal Creed, did finish second at even-money. The seven maiden wins came at Finger Lakes (two), Golden Gate, Gulfstream West (three, including two on the same day), and Hawthorne. Saturday's card has some interesting plays with one that might result in a BreezeFigs gimmick, see below. Good luck!

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.

Here’s Saturday’s Pick:

Churchill Downs, 3rd Race, Maiden Claiming ($75k), 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

One representative from each of the OBS sales this year is entered here with first timer, Augie, morning line favorite based, no doubt, on his trainer. However, he is likely to deserve it on his BreezeFigs profile since he tossed in a three-over-Par Group 2 effort at OBSMAR with a 25.37 foot stride length (SL), more than a foot-and-three-quarters longer than colts that day at a furlong. That he is in for a tag at the price he sold for gives one pause, but he needs to be considered as a key. The other firster, You’re Killing Me, did nicely at OBSJUN where his two-over-Par Group 2 profile featured a 24.88 SL, just about even for colts that day at a quarter mile. Uncle Pappy came out of the OBSAPR sale with a decent four-over-Par Group 2 profile, but his 23.53 foot SL was more than a third-of-a-foot shorter than average that day. He showed nothing in his July debut, but that means he may have had an issue and has recovered. He needs to show more but might be worth a saver if the board looks right. Otherwise, the other two look more promising to fool with. Good luck!