11/09/2012 11:15AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday November 10th, 2012


The weather and The Breeders' Cup took a toll on this column last week, but we're ready to roll again with a record of 16 BreezeFigs maiden winners last week to back us up.  These included five at Parx, four at Calder, two at Hawthorne, and one each at Aqueduct, Churchill, Charles Town, Laurel, Santa Anita, and Zia.  This week there are several potential scorchers on the card, but we found a particularly intriguing one, below.  Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 and now 2012 sales sheets have major changes in the NOTES section: For 2011, the OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and for 2012, the FTFFEB sale was moved to March, so it is now known as FTFMAR. Both of these changes forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales. Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don't forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 and 2012 sheets), in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here.

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

Here is a good one for today:

BetFair Hollywood Park, 9th Race, Maiden Special Weight,, 6 Furlongs (Turf)

Five BreezeFigs maidens in this one, three of them first-timers with good credentials (one of them on AE list).  Best overall profile goes to Syndicated, whose seven-over-Par Group 1 rating at BARMAR was considerably helped by  a 26.76 foot SL that was more than two feet longer than average.  He is certainly not a little guy and he may not be the most fluid mover, but he deserves attention,  All the others were Group 2 at their sales with Will True Up, another first-timer, having a more conventional two-over-Par profile at OBSMAR with a 24.54 foot SL that was almost a foot longer than average; however, he is on the rail on a course with a wicked left turn.  Dice Flavor and Najran Breeze came out of OBSAPR and both showed well in their debuts with the former doing that on turf where his slightly below average 23.61 SL was probably more effective.  Najran Breeze ran on dirt at Santa Anita and is likely to show even better form based on his 24.13 foot SL, almost a foot longer than the quarter-mile average.  If first-timer The Cleaners gets in from the AE list, he could make some noise based on his 24.18 foot SL at OBSMAR, more than half foot longer than average at an eighth of a mile.  This could be a key race, but it should also be exciting, and we would not leave Syndicated out of the gimmicks which should also include a mix of the others.  Good luck!