05/06/2010 11:00PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday May 8th


Everyone else has had their say, so we will sum up our failed Kentucky Derby Pix with just three words: Lookin At Unlucky. But, hey, that's horseracing as they say and out Belmont Park special, Hear the Footsteps, just got nailed at the wire after a very game race, so we're not all that upset. Besides, there were five maiden BreezeFigs winners on that card last week and eight others during the week, all of which were Group 1 or Group 2 horses, not a bad showing.

This week is complicated, however. This column is written and posted on Friday morning, so if you get here in time for the fourth at Churchill Downs on Friday, pay attention below we are looking at that race for a reason. Also, for Saturday, we give you one 3-year-old and one 2-year-old race (only one on the card) because we are such wonderful people. Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2009 and 2010 sales sheets have a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PUS box in the right hand column on the home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08, won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the .

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: .

ATTENTION: The first race here is for FRIDAY at Churchill Downs, the next two are for Saturday. Good luck!


Churchill Downs, 4th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 4 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)

The reason we're including this race is that there is a horse in here that does not appear on the BreezeFigs card because she was in the OBSAPR sale a couple of weeks ago and the entries were taken for this race before the file for that monster sale was fully integrated into the database (Saturday's card, as you will see below, was OK thanks to avid BreezeFigs handicapper, Richard H., for this tip). That would be Internet Café, and she has a shot based on her Group 2, two-over-Par performance there at a furlong where she showed a 23.53 foot SL, about a half-foot longer than average. She will meet a goodie in Shezsocool, who comes out of the tonier FTFFEB sale with a Group 1, five-over-Par profile that featured a shorter SL of 23.13 feet, but that was also about a half-foot above average and that was on a deep dirt track. These two are basically even and should be included in gimmicks Champagne Tommie, a Group 4 from OBSFEB has already run up to her BreezeFigs profile.


Belmont Park, 3rd Race, Maiden Special Weight, 7 Furlongs (Dirt)

The weather is supposed to be crummy, so this one could be on a wet track. The big deal in here is Cocolero, a royally-bred beast who topped last year's OBSAPR sale after a five-over-Par, Group 1 performance that featured a 25.13 foot SL two feet above average. He is not a small horse, so they gave him time and he will be short odds but you can back him up with Kells Blues, who has a more modest one-over-Par Group 2 profile from KEEAPR with a much shorter SL (23.86 ft) but had a useful debut.

Calder Race Course, 3rd Race, Maiden Claiming (40k), 2 Furlongs (Dirt)

What the hay, no? A 2-year-old Thoroughbred race disguised as a quarter-horse dash, and the only BreezeFigs horse in it did OK at OBSAPR and may actually outrun these other fillies. That would be County Time, whose four-over-Par Group 2 profile featured a 24.55 foot SL, almost a foot above average and she doesn t appear in the PP's as a 2-year-old sales horse because she was an RNA for only 18k. This outfit likes to get them out of the barn as soon as possible, but we've been burned three years in a row by selecting one of theirs as an early 2-year-old Pix, so play accordingly and watch the board. Good luck!