05/29/2014 11:00PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, May 31st by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore


As we were saying when we were all so rudely interrupted…

It's been an interesting two weeks on the BreezeFigs front with not that many 2-year-old races carded yet and a paucity of maiden races for 3-year-olds as well sprinkled among the various cards across the country.  There was a decent juvenile winner this past week at Santa Anita (Story to Tell), where along with Churchill and Gulfstream most of the action has been for the babies, some of which like that one are likely to shorten up as the distances stretch to beyond four-and-a-half furlongs.  Meanwhile, the 3-year-olds saw four winning BreezeFigs maidens, including two nice BreezeFigs gimmicks:  An exacta in the fifth at Churchill ($54.40) on Sunday and an exacta ($47.00) and trifecta ($462.00) in the fifth race at Monmouth on Monday. Today’s card is a bit of a little of this and little of that, but we have found one on each card, see below. Good luck! 

Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years.  First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class.  Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://static.drf.com/PDFs/breezefigs/BreezeFigs2009Sales.pdf.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://static.drf.com/PDFs/breezefigs/StrideLengthStudy-1.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.
Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigsInformation, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here are Saturday’s Pix:
3-Year-Olds: Woodbine, 3rd Race, Maiden Claiming (40g), 6 ½ Furlongs (Synthetic)
We are always very suspicious of horses starting for a maiden claiming tag that’s one-third of the price the owner paid for it at the sale, and Abendintheroad would certainly qualify on that count for a raised eyebrow.  However, if he’s in one piece he might be able to pick this one up based on his KEEAPR performance last year where he posted a three-over-Par Group 2 profile with a 24.98 foot stride length, which was more than a foot longer than average for colts that day at a furlong on synthetic, which he catches today.  Watch the board.

2-Year-Olds: Gulfstream Park, 4th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 4 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)
Artistic Touch was not the most impressive performed at OBSMAR a couple of months ago, but his 22.94 foot stride length was actually a quarter foot longer than average that day at a furlong for colts.  That helped him earn a one-over-Par Group 2 rating and he must be in decent condition for a colt by a sire who gets distances horses on the turf—so he’s a bit of an oxymoron in here.  Still, he might be worth including in some gimmicks, and might even pay off.  Good luck!