05/22/2008 11:00PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday, May 24th


Memorial Day weekend usually signals the oncoming deluge of 2-year-old maiden races, and though there’s only three on Saturday’s BreezeFigs card, it should be noted that since they started to come out in April, 55% of the 38 BreezeFigs-qualified 2-year-old maidens have either won (12) or finished second (9) in their first start, which is a pretty good exacta edge in races that are short and often filled with bad starts or traffic jams.

Remember, there’s a new look to our sheets—there are two sheets for each day, one for 3-yos (sales of 2007) and one for 2-yos (sales of 2008). The reason for this is that we have added a new category for the 2008 sales—SURFACE—which tells you whether the horse breezed on a dirt (D) or synthetic (S) track. There are four S sales this year—OBSFEB, OBSMAR, OBSAPR and KEEAPR; and three D sales—FTFFEB, BARMAR and EASMAY. Just to add some more insight to your handicapping. NOTE: If the 2-yo sheet comes up with no entries, that usually means there are no 2-yo races that day.

Remember, our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the DRF.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. .

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website, .

We’re going to give you one race for each age group today—good luck!

Calder Race Course, , Maiden Special Weight, 4 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)

Two colts by the same sire (Essence of Dubai) who both come out of the recent OBSAPR sale have a shot here. City of Benares was a 20k RNA (he shows as a 7.5k yearling in the PP’s), but he had a very good BreezeFigs profile at the sale. His four-over-Par Group 2 effort featured a nearly one-foot-above-average 24.06 foot SL, good at any sale. If he can maintain that SL beyond the one furlong breeze of that day, and adapt from synthetic to dirt, he’s worth a shot. Dubai Rainbow went two furlongs in his breeze and earned an even-Par Group 2 BreezeFig with a 23.5 foot SL, half-a-foot longer than the average for the day. Both of these horses look playable, at least in the gimmicks.

Pimlico, , Maiden Claiming (25k), 6 Furlongs, Dirt

Obviously, Tripped Over had some problems getting to the races since coming out of last year’s OBSAPR sale with a superior BreezeFigs profile—eight-over-Par Group 1 with a 25+-foot SL, more than two feet longer than average; but he only sold for 18k and that means he had issues then. But he’s probably recovered enough to have been dropped into a claimer for his debut and is in clever hands—the board might tell you something here, but his numbers are pretty impressive and is worth a close look.