04/29/2010 11:00PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday May 1st


Our Pick last week did well enough to complete the exacta, and we do have an interesting Pick for you below from today's BreezeFigs card. But you might want our opinion on the Kentucky Derby, so we'll give it (O.K., even if you don t want it, we'll give it.)

This is the weirdest Derby in quite some time. Clearly, the best horse (Eskendereya), is not in there, but the next best one is Lookin At Lucky. He was the top colt at KEEAPR last year, and one of the best at all the 2-year-old sales with a 25.5 foot SL that does not seem to have diminished over the year. Despite the fact that his Beyers are not that spectacular, he still outshines the others that came out of the 2-year-old sales last year: Ice Box, Devil May Care, Line of David, Make Music for Me the best one of that bunch might be Line of David right now.

However, Lookin At Lucky is stuck on the rail, and that could be a serious problem, except he is quite handy and handy often gets lucky in this race, and he will get the distance. If he's the key here, there are three others you might want to consider that we ve looked at over the past year Awesome Act, American Lion and Dublin. Awesome Act is the stone-cold closer with the best shot in this race, American Lion is the one-paced cruiser who needs good position to hang on, and Dublin just seems to get in the mix every time, and will have something to say about the outcome. If you need a saver, it's Line of David. That's the box, play it as it lays, and good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2009 and 2010 sales sheets have a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PUS box in the right hand column on the home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08, won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the .

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: .

Ah, Belmont Park is open (and several of our other favorite tracks), so here's one for today.

Belmont Park, 10th Race, Maiden Special Weight (New York-Breds), 6 Furlongs (Turf)

She always is in the mix with firsters in turf sprints and this race should be no different for Linda Rice as she sends out Hear the Footsteps, whom she picked up for $85k at EASMAY last year after he posted a two-over-Par Group 2 profile at a quarter mile that featured a 23.82 foot SL, about three-quarters of a foot longer than average for that day. He's by a turf horse who gets turf runners, there isn't a heck of a lot here to beat, and the odds will be short, but you could do worse. Good luck!