05/17/2013 8:32PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday May 18th, 2013


Though our Pick last week, Charlie’s Picnic, ran a one-paced fourth and disappointed us with very little kick, there were actually four BreezeFigs maiden winners on that card (Belmont, Churchill, Hollywood, Pimlico), so it wasn’t a total loss.  Another five BreezeFigs horses broke their maidens during the rest of the week at Belmont (2), Calder (2) and Prairie Meadows, so the strike rate from few opportunities was pretty good.  All of these came on the 2012 cards—there is still not much action on the 2013 cards, but things should heat up soon.  Meanwhile, there’s another 2-year-old sale this weekend in Maryland, and we found a debut graduate of that sale on Saturday’s card to consider, see below.   Good luck!
Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years.  First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class.  Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/Video_Links_BreezeFigs_for_2009_Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/BreezeFigs_&_Stride_Length_Study_Part_I.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigsInformation, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here:www.biodatatrack.com.

Here's our choice this week:

Monmouth Park, 3rd Race, Maiden Claiming ($30,000), 5 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)

Exactly a year ago, Personal Pursuit moved down the stretch  at the Timonium EASMAY sale in Maryland to post a Group 1, three-over-Par BreezeFig profile at one furlong that featured a 24.59 foot stride length, more than three-quarters of a foot longer than average —pretty good for that half-mile dirt track.  He was sold for only 20k, and today his connections have him in New Jersey against a weak bunch.  He’s not one of those pound-the-machine horses but there’s a little karma at play here and he might prove to be a good key in your gimmicks.  Whatever.  Good luck!