05/14/2009 11:00PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday, May 16th


We're not exactly on a roll, but last week s Pick vindicated our belief that first-time starter BreezeFigs 3-year-olds are worth following. Not only did our Pick, Fierce Rival, win, but he paid $15,50, and later on in the Belmont card, Pretty Boy Freud came along to post a $12.20 payoff in his second start. There were five other BreezeFigs winners on the card at Churchill ($22.40), Monmouth (two, $5.50 and $4.00), Pimlico ($3.20) and Suffolk ($22.20).

But the real news of the week were the 2-year-olds. Since 2-year-old racing began in April, 13 BreezeFigs horses have won-and 11 of them, or 85%, have been BreezeFigs-qualified (i.e., Groups 1 and 2 or within two points of Par). This week we happen to have two races on Saturday s card to look at, one of which we recommend, below; and because this column is posted on Friday, we've also thrown in a West Coast Friday race for you to check out as a bonus.

As for the Preakness, well, we stated two weeks ago that Rachel Alexandra was the best 3-year-old in the country. We stick to our guns.

Before we get to the business of Pix, we remember we've changed our format for the 2-year-old sheet. There are two BreezeFigs sheets for each date, one for the 3-year-olds from the 2008 sales (to be posted through June 30th), and one for the 2-year-olds from the 2009 sales. The 2009 sales sheet has a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the 2009 BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here:

and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what qualified BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the .

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: .

Here's the two juvenile races we mentioned above. Good luck!

FRIDAY, Golden Gate Park, , Maiden Special Weight, 4 Furlongs (Synthetic)

One of the first babies by Afleet Alex makes his debut in this race, and Eze Does It could live up to his name if he gets off well from the outside post and doesn t get hung wide. He showed a one-over-Par Group 2 profile at OBSMAR at a furlong, and did it with a SL that was just about even, and moved nicely. He looks like one of the favorites, but, hey, they pay, too.

SATURDAY, Calder Race Course, , Maiden Special Weight, 4 1/2 Furlongs (Dirt)

She was unsold (RNA) at 24k after breezing a quarter mile in 21.0 at OBSAPR, so there may have been some questions about her conformation at the sale, but if Salute to Her can get off OK from her rail post, this filly could scamper. She posted a one-over-Par BreezeFigs profile at that sale with a SL that was more than half-a-foot longer than average for fillies that day at the distance. She comes from an outfit that needs to sell horses, so she is likely to be revved up. Watch the board, and bet cautiously.

Good luck!