05/08/2008 11:00PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday, May 10th


We’re pretty happy with the Kentucky Derby result based on our BreezeFigs Quick-Pix since we thought both Big Brown and Denis of Cork would be gimmick plays—if the other way around. Recapturetheglory also vindicated his original 2-year-old BreezeFigs form, and looks like he might be worth a serious look in the Preakness.

But today is another day, and 2-year-olds are coming out more frequently. Thus far, there have been 15 maiden races for 2-year-olds across the country this year, and BreezeFigs “qualified” horses have won seven of them. There were a total of 21 starters, eight of whom were not identified in the PP’s as having been through a 2-year-old sale breeze show (they were RNA or SCR horses)—and four of those either won or placed. That’s a pretty good start for the BreezeFigs system.

Remember, our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the DRF.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. .

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website, .

This week we have first-timers at Churchill and Calder. Let’s focus on one. Good luck!

Churchill Downs, , Maiden Special Weight, 4½ Furlongs (Dirt)

This looks like a fairly weak field on paper, and both BreezeFigs horses are part of entries, so they could scratch. However, despite modest BreezeFigs profiles, you have to consider both Sugar Mom and So Much Trouble. Sugar Mom comes out of OBSFEB where she was a Group 1 evens-all-around: even Par, SL even to the average for the day. She was also RNA’d for 70k. So Much Trouble was a “qualified” two-under-Par at OBSMAR with a slightly longer SL over the same synthetic track. Both are worth playing, though we’re not sure if there’s much value here.