03/02/2012 9:59AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday March 3rd


Agent Di Nozzo managed to get a piece of last week’s first part of the parlay at Fair Grounds by closing well to be third, but it seems that Storming John, our Pick in the next race, figured what-the-hay, and quit on a dime after a half mile. Thanks a lot, McGee. Still, there were two other nice maiden winners on the card, at Aqueduct and Gulfstream, where there was also a huge $131 payoff  when OBSAPR Group 1 Yara, making her sixth start, won the Davona Dale (G2)—if you keep good records, you might have considered her.  And on Thursday, Whobetterthanus, a previous Pick who was scratched out of her original debut, came out at Oaklawn with an easy win, one of a total of eight BreezeFigs maidens to win this week.  This week we have a sneaky Pick, see below. Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 sales sheets have a major change in the NOTES section: The OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and that forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales.  Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don’t forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 sheets), in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study.  The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this:  When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group.  There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box.  So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races.  Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

Here’s our Pick for Saturday:

Gulfstream Park, 8th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 1 1/16 Miles (Turf)

Hello? We are scratching our heads here over a morning line of 12-to-1 for a daughter of superior turf sire Unbridled’s Song, making her debut for turf wizard Barclay Tagg.  Topping it all, Praise Band breezed on the turf at FTFFEB last year and even though only one other filly breezed at an eighth of a mile that day, her 24.05 foot SL and 71 BreezeFig look good enough to wet our pallet.  Two other BreezeFigs fillies are in this race, and they’ve already started.  Frivolous Alex ran creditably in her debut here at a mile, showing that her Group 2, three-over-par rating at KEEAPR was pretty much on target; her 23.13 foot SL, though, was a little below average there.  If she gets in from the AE’s, Margaret Lilian might go off the choice, and well she should. This four-over-Par Group 1 filly was a private purchase after failing to meet her reserve (RNA) at 70k at OBSAPR  where her 23.29 foot SL was slightly affected by a headwind.  She showed the goods here in her first start, and if she gets in she should be your key.  But the other two have to be considered strongly as well no matter what the final field looks like.  Good luck!