03/01/2013 9:57AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, March 2nd, 2013


Horrible track conditions and a bad start hampered our Pick last week, but Risk Management showed enough finishng second that you should tab him back at a longer distance next time. It was still a decent card for BreezeFigs horses, with BreezeFigs graduates winning both Grade 2 races at Fair Grounds (Unlimited Budget at $3 and Ive Struck a Nerve--what???--$270) while Dry Summer won a stake at Sunland. That card also featured maiden winners at Delta, Turfway, and a stone-cold $26 exacta at Parx with two first-time starters. For the week, nine BreezeFigs horses broke their maidens, two each at Golden Gate and Sam Houston, and solos at Aqueduct, and Gulfstream, in addition to the ones mentioned above. Today we travel to a place not visited in a while for a shot with a first-timer, as is our wont, see below. Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember like the 2011 the 2012 sales sheets have major changes in the NOTES section: For 2011, the OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and for 2012, the FTFFEB sale was moved to March, so it is now known as FTFMAR. Both of these changes forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales. Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don’t forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 and 2012 sheets), in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/Video_Links_BreezeFigs_for_2009_Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/BreezeFigs_&_Stride_Length_Study_Part_I.pdf
you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here's one out of the blue:

Turf Paradise, 5th Race, Maiden Optional Claiming, 6 1/2 Furlongs, (Dirt)

Not many BreezeFigs horses appear here, but here we have Shock the Clock, who was bought back by his breeders (RNA) for $110k at BARMAR after a respectable even-Par, Group 2 performancei on the dirt that featured a 24.16 foot stride length, about a half-foot below average for colts that day at an eighth of a mile. They've taken their time with him, which means that he's either got problems or enough promise to go with that RNA and pedigree. May not be a bad key at 4-to-1 morning line.. Good luck!