03/19/2009 11:00PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday, March 21st


So much for our ability to hone in on one race on a card that we like and overlook another equally bettable opportunity on the same card. Last week’s dud, Sarvatha in the 11th at Gulfstream was preceded on the BreezeFigs card by another first-timer in the 5th, Jersey Town, who ran to a $22.40 payoff in another hot betting race. So, pay attention to the whole card, not just our sometimes inane selections (though we will take credit for our saver suggestion, Reb, who completed a $160 exacta in the 11th race). Indeed, Jersey Town was a harbinger since the majority of BreezeFigs winners this week paid double digits to win--$15 at Oaklawn, $28 and $20 at Tampa, $11 at Hawthorne, $20 and $15 at Gulfstream, $16 at Laurel, as well as single-digit numbers at Aqueduct and Santa Anita. This week’s card has some interesting maiden and allowance races, so sign up for DRF-Plus and get the card on the front page of .

Remember, there’s a new look to our sheets for the sales of 2008 we have added SURFACE as a new category to tell you whether the horse breezed on a dirt (D) or synthetic (S) track. There are four (S) sales this year OBSFEB, OBSMAR, OBSAPR and KEEAPR; and three D sales FTFFEB, BARMAR and EASMAY. Just to add some more insight to your handicapping.

Also, our rules still hold about BreezeFigs qualified runners: You can get a good idea of what qualified BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF PLUS box in the right hand column on the home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the .

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: .

Here is probably the most challenging maiden race on Saturday’s card (we are gluttons for punishment). Good luck!

Santa Anita, , Maiden Special Weight, 7 Furlongs (Synthetic)

There are five BreezeFigs—qualified runners in this race and each has a real shot in a field loaded it pedigree and promise. We liked Caspian in his first start, and this 65K RNA Group 1 at FTFFEB did not run badly in what may be a key race. His 24.66 SL is second best in this race to another RNA, Lt. Hopeful, who was bought back for 235k at BARMAR where he was a Group 1 after showing a 25.67 foot SL, more than a foot better than average on a track which always shows long stride lengths. Another firster, Coal Region Kid, was a four-over-Par Group 2 horse at OBSMAR where he showed a slightly above average 23.82 SL, but that was on synthetic while the above two did their breezing on dirt. Like Caspian, Megaholz also comes out of FTFFEB on the dirt where he was just under Par with a nearly as long SL as Caspian; he hesitated in his first start and lost all chance so he is bettable here. Finally, Pauper’s Prize is back again for his fourth try after an ambitious jump to a stakes at Turf Paradise. He ran well in key races in his first two starts and his profile at OBSAPR, not as classy a sale as the ones the others came from, was excellent—eight over Par, solid 23.70 foot SL which was almost a foot longer than the average for the day. He should be your key, but the others may be strictly who’s hot on the board plays with him with the edge to Caspian and Lt. Hopeful.