03/18/2011 11:07AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday March 19th


It was a wildly exciting finish, but in the end our 6-to-1 Pick of last week, Joker Face, got nailed at the wire, but he completed a solid $91 exacts for a buck, if you played it that way. The week’s action took BreezeFigs maidens across the country with 11 winners at 10 tracks—Aqueduct, Charles Town, Fair Grounds (2), Gulfstream, Laurel, Mountaineer, Parx, Tampa Bay, Turfway, and Will Rogers Downs. Ten of those were Group 1 or Group 2 horses, and the other one a reasonable Group 3 play at Mountaineer. This week’s card is as thin as a dime, but there are two bottom feeder plays that we’ve found that should satisfy your cravings…see below and good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2010 sales sheets have a major addition in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

Here’s our Pix for Saturday:

Aqueduct,10th Race, Maiden New York-Bred Claiming (16k), 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt)

Bottom of the barrel maiden state-breds here are vulnerable to a first starter, Won My Heart, a 12k purchase at EASMAY last year where she rang up a solid five-over-Par, Group 1 BreezeFigs profile that featured a 24-foot SL, about 2/3 of a foot above average for fillies that day. Of course there’s something amiss with her—maybe not the best conformation, or whatever, but watch the board and you may get a price. She doesn’t have to be all that much to be competitive here.

Oaklawn,6th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

This bunch of fillies doesn’t look all that special, either, so it’s the first-timers that may serve you best, and there is a BreezeFigs gal in here: Wind Dancing. They paid 65k for her at OBSAPR where her even-Par, Group 1 rating was a bit tainted by a 22.48 foot SL—about 2/3 of a foot below average for fillies that day. Still, she showed enough to get that money, and she may be lively enough on the board to indicate she can handle this crowd.

Good luck!