03/15/2013 9:59AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, March 16th, 2013

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Last week’s Pick (Warm Breeze) acquitted herself fairly well after a poor start , a wide trip and a rodeo episode in the stretch, but was necked out for third. However, the card had three winners: Aqueduct, Tampa Bay and a BreezeFigs exacta ($28) at Hawthorne. Two of those winners were first-time starters, including Hawthorne winner Dakota Mac, and even though the week produced only five BreezeFigs maiden winners, three of them were first-timers. That’s what we like to see, especially this late in the season when the vast majority of 2012 sales horses have started. Indeed, we will soon be seeing the 2013 graduates on our cards, and from what we’ve seen so far, this could be an interesting bunch of beasts. Today we dip into the debut pool again with an interesting one, see below. Good luck!

Remember like the 2011 the 2012 sales sheets have major changes in the NOTES section: For 2011, the OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and for 2012, the FTFFEB sale was moved to March, so it is now known as FTFMAR. Both of these changes forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales. Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don’t forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 and 2012 sheets), in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/Video_Links_BreezeFigs_for_2009_Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/BreezeFigs_&_Stride_Length_Study_Part_I.pdf
you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here's this week's shot:

Santa Anita, 3rd Race, Maiden Special Weight, 5 ½ Furlongs, (Dirt)

Two Blue Hens comes into her debut with an almost totally “Par” BreezeFigs profile: Group 1, even-Par at EASMAY where her stride length of 23.18 feet was just .01 foot longer than average for fillies at an eighth that day, and that was on the dirt. She is not blessed with brilliant speed, and she’s not the most efficient mover, but if she gets off well and settles, she couple pick up a piece of this one. She’s 4-to-1 in the morning line, which means someone might know something. Gimmick play, watch the board. Good luck!

rvraynmary More than 1 year ago
Two Blue Hens has one big thing going for her. Her trainer, Tom Proctor, has a $2.53 ROI with debut runners. The #6,Ziz Zia Zia seems on the improve though and likely will go off at 3-5 or so. As you say,watch the board for clues. Baffert also has two firsters, which strangely are his only entries on the Saturday card.