03/12/2010 12:00AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday March 13th


Please, don't ask. OK, we'll tell you. Our top two Pix last week at Gulfstream (Southern Danger and Green Monster) and our Pick at Philadelphia (This Is Bananas) all stumbled badly at the start, leaving us to throw up our hands and settle for Green Monster coming from nowhere to complete a $374 exacta. And if you liked other BreezeFigs horses No Truth Told and Visionary Man, you hit a $885 Trifecta and $3,522 Superfecta well, come to think of it, that ain't bad at all. This week's nasty weather forecast for the East and the appearance of some usual suspects elsewhere confine our Pix to Florida, so have a look below and good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, the 2009 sales sheet has a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the 2009 BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08, won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the .

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: .

Get out your mittens-good luck!

Gulfstream Park, , Maiden Special Weight, 5 Furlongs (Turf)

This is one of those "zoom-and-you-win, hesitate-and-you're creamed" events where a horse with brilliant speed, or the ability to sit off the pace and gobble up the leaders, has the best chance. Three BreezeFigs horses are in here, all from last year's OBSAPR sale where they all breezed a quarter on synthetic, all earned Group 2 ratings (which sometimes means will like the turf), and all had stride lengths that were about a foot longer than average. Two-Ashquar and Slam Fire-have been out already, and the latter actually might be best here because he has been the distance on this course and ran into trouble but still got beat by only three lengths. But we think Royal Cape might be the one here that can sit right off the pace and nail them late. He was three-over-Par on his BreezeFigs profile and the others were even-Par, and his SL was slightly longer. He has patient connections but he better move fast to get the money.

Tampa Bay, , Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

Some well-bred beasts wander into this one on the track's big day, and the two BreezeFigs horses look like they may have hot shots. First-timer Bellhouse was a Group 1, seven-over-Par purchase at EASMAY where his breeze on the dirt revealed a 24.25 foot SL-almost a foot longer than average. Grandstander had a far longer SL at KEEAPR (26.13 feet) which was a whopping 2.2 feet longer than average, but his overall three-over-Par Group 2 profile there is basically equal to that of Bellhouse. He tired at seven furlongs in his first start at Gulfstream, but here he and Bellhouse look like easy gimmick bets, and one might be a key if you play the board. Good luck!