03/09/2012 10:10AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday March 10th, 2012


We're going to have to make this quick since we've got a plane to catch to Ocala for the upcoming OBSMAR 2-year-old sale.  The first one of the season, BARMAR, produced some nifty prospects which you will be seeing when the races start for these babies.  Last week's Pick was an unmitigated disaster—even though our prime choice, Margaret Lilian, drew in, she ran poorly, as did our next choice, Foxy Alex.  But there were 12 BreezeFigs maiden winners during the week all over the place, more than half of which paid more than $10, so it was a solid week after all.  This week we'll go back to the Bayou for another shot, see below.  Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 sales sheets have a major change in the NOTES section: The OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and that forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales.  Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don't forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 sheets), in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study.  The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this:  When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group.  There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box.  So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races.  Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here.

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

Here's our Pick for Saturday:

Fair Grounds, 9th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 1 1/16 Miles (Dirt)

The rail horse here, Eslin, is royally bred for two-turns, had a solid two-over-Par Group 2 profile at KEEAPR with a 24.91 SL (1.22 feet longer than average), but went home unsold (RNA) at 55k.  We like him anyway considering the other two BreezeFigs beasts in here.  Razzo Succo was an even-Par Group 2 at FTFFEB where his 25+ foot SL was almost a foot longer than average, and he brought $325k, but his two sprints have stunk and he might benefit from the stretch out.  Cigar Street was four-under-Par at KEEAPR with a SL that was more than a foot shorter than average that day and did not shine in his debut.  Pass.  Stick with Eslin as your key and maybe look for Razzo Succo to suck up to finish the gimmick off.   Good luck!