06/04/2009 11:00PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday, June 6th

Email

With apologies to Bill Maher, New Rule: "Never bet a first-time-starter 2-year-old from a smart barn that takes no money." Our 2-year-old Pick obviously was sent out for an education last week, and as we said, we were mindful that the rail was going to hurt him. But in the end, we still think you should follow Icey Temper-barring anything wrong physically, you will hear from him. This week we are going to bypass the Belmont Stakes because we simply don't have enough stride data on a majority of the horses. And we are putting you on notice for next week: We'll be publishing the results of an interesting study that shows the relationship between BreezeFigs and stride lengths when it comes to winning races. Until then, we are picking one from Column A (3-year-olds) and one from Column B (2-year-olds) this week, below. Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, we remember we've changed our format for the 2-year-old sheet. There are two BreezeFigs sheets for each date, one for the 3-year-olds from the 2008 sales (to be posted through June 30th), and one for the 2-year-olds from the 2009 sales. The 2009 sales sheet has a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the 2009 BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here:

and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the .

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: .

Here two interesting opportunities on this week's BreezeFigs Saturday cards. Good luck!

3-Year-Olds: Monmouth Park, , Maiden Claiming (32g), Mile & 70 Yards (Dirt)

There are no world beaters in here, and that gives rise to hope that two first-timers out of last year's OBSAPR sale might have a shot in gimmicks, or going all the way. Schredder was a three-over-Par Group 2 horse at the sale, and his quarter-mile breeze revealed a competitive 23.34 foot SL, more than a foot and quarter above average for colts that day. He obviously wants to go somewhat long, so maybe if he stays out of trouble, he can scoop them up. King Theoden did considerably poorer on paper in that sale (he was an 19k RNA), coming up with a two-under-Par Group 3 BreezeFigs profile-but that was at 1/8 mile and that also was produced with an enormous 25+ SL, well over two feet longer than average for colts that day. Obviously, he is no tiny tot, but if he can get out of his way and get rolling, he might also show up in the gimmick. As always, pay attention to the board.

2-Year-Olds: Churchill Downs, , Maiden Claiming (50g-45g), 4 1/2 Furlongs (Dirt)

There are obviously no stars-of-the-future in this one either, but there are two Group 1 BreezeFigs horses that could carry the day, both of whom failed to sell at the sales. Better Go Hide was taken back home for 27k after a pretty solid, four-over-Par effort at OBSMAR, showing a good 24.64 SL-well over a half-foot longer than average that day. Sweet Alexander was a 22k RNA at OBSAPR where he posted a good two-over-Par BreezeFigs profile with a very solid 25+ foot SL, well over a foot longer than average. His was at a quarter-mile, while Better Go Hide was traveling an eighth. These two look like they could be in the scramble late if they stay out of trouble. Good luck!