06/03/2011 11:04AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday June 4th


Our Pick last week, Sandy Key Gal, hesitated at the start at Calder and when that happens in an early 2-year-old race it’s axiomatic that you tear up your tickets.  Had we chosen to focus on a race at Woodbine on the 2-year-old card, we would have had a major head scratcher on our hands.  That’s because it included three BreezeFigs babies: the aptly named Ten K Cat, an eight-over-Par Group 1 who was nonetheless a suspicious bet because she was RNA’d for 10k at the OBSAPR sale (she ran like a 10k RNA).  The other two from OBSMAR ran one-two, but the first one home, the Group 2 (and 15.60-to-1) Samsal, was DQ’d and the Group 4 (and 9-to-1) Runfor Ro was put up for a $202 BreezeFigs exactor.  We probably would have recommended a box, but strongly favored the DQ’d filly.   That’s a back-door explanation.  Today we have some good opportunities on both the 3-year-old and 2-year-old cards, but we’ll seek redemption with another baby race at Calder, see below.  Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 sales sheets have a major change in the NOTES section: The OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and that forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales.  Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don’t forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 sheets), in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study.  The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this:  When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group.  There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box.  So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races.  Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

Here’s our Pick for Saturday:

Calder Race Course, 9th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 4 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)

Two marginal BreezeFigs colts are in here, but the Group 3, one-under-Par Mucho Mas Macho has strong enough credentials in this dash to be prominent from the start and carry it all the way.  His 23.89 SL was virtually identical with the average for the day and his overall profile was pretty solid for this crowd.  Blandishing went three furlongs in his breeze and though his SL was a paltry 21.95 feet, it was less than a half foot shorter than the average for those colts at the distance, and he has a chance for a suck up gimmick play.  Good luck!