06/10/2010 11:00PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday June 12th


BreezeFigs Quick - Pix, Saturday June 12th

by Bob Fierro & Jay Kilgore

NOTE: Check the Pix below for an important correction to Saturday's 2-year-old BreezeFigs card.

Our 2-year-old Pick last week ran promisingly but got no cigar, while the 3-year-olds stunk out the joint, but that s all about to change because we feel lucky. (Well, you live in hope, as they say on the backstretch.) There were five maiden winners on the 3-year-old card last week, and another four during a very light week that followed. As for the 2-year-olds, there appears to be movement at the entry box they are starting to fill races and Saturday s card has a lot of entries. However, most of them fairly well playable or candidates to throw out. Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2009 and 2010 sales sheets have a major addition in the SALE column: It s now labeled SALE & HIP, the HIP referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all . Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs qualified runners: You can get a good idea of what qualified BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click

">here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08, won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the

If you d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking

NOTE for June 12th 2-year-old Card:

Before we get to the Pix, please note that a glitch occurred with the lone BreezeFigs horse in the third race at Calder Soldier s Tune. There is no distance listed for that horse s breeze it was actually a half-mile, something very, very rare and the program may not have recognized it. In any case, his BreezeFigs profile suggests he might be too short on his stride-length, and he was slow, so his post on the rail dictates that you pay attention accordingly.

Meanwhile, here s our maiden selections from today s two BreezeFigs cards. Good luck!


Calder Race Course, 4th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 5 Furlongs (Dirt)

There are three BreezeFigs horses in this race, including one, Vencedora Girl, who outran her BreezeFigs profile at OBSMAR in her debut, but we don t think she s as contentious here. That s because she really had a short stride length (21.83 feet) that was almost two feet below average, and she got a rail trip in her first race, which helps short-striding horses on tight turns. The added distance will work against her here, but it might be OK for both Pretty Extravagant and Valid Distinction. Both these fillies are by a Freshman sire that did very well at the sales (With Distinction) and they should have a lot of gas and be up to the distance. They come out of the OBSAPR sale where they were both Group 1 horses, but at different distances. Pretty Extravagant got a two-over-Par BreezeFig with a 23.05 foot SL that was just about average for that distance that day for fillies, while Valid Distinction put up a one-over-Par profile at an eighth of a mile with a 22.33 foot SL on a day where the average was .65 feet longer. These two look pretty even nonetheless and should be boxed in your gimmicks, maybe along with Vencedora Girl, who might be the chalk.


Monmouth Park, 6th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

We go back to our handicapping graveyard, Monmouth, with a Pick by a sire who has been an abject disappointment all around, but Ghosts and Legends might be the best first-time starter bet on a weak 3-year-old card this week. He earned a modest even-Par Group 2 profile at OBSMAR last year with a 24.60 SL that was .66 feet longer than average that day at an eighth for colts and they plopped down 300k for him at the sale, so he s gorgeous. Like most Ghostzappers, he probably needed time, and he is in clever hands, so don t be surprised if he goes off short, but pay attention to him. Good luck!