07/08/2011 2:08PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday July 9th


While our two top Pix last week finished in the order we liked them, the best that Next Right Thing and Irbywood could do, however, was complete a $45 exacta and $152 trifecta, respectively, behind the non-BreezeFigs favorite.  Still, it was a pretty spectacular day—and week—for the new BreezeFigs crop.  Last Saturday there were four winners, including the other baby race at Churchill, a stone cold exacta at Parx, and our previous Pick, Mel Beach, broke his maiden at Calder in a stakes.  Next day Make Amends broke his maiden in a stakes at Woodbine, and four other BreezeFigs horses swept the baby races at Churchill and Hollywood.  But the piece-de-resistance had to be the sixth at Hollywood on Thursday when BreezeFigs horses finished 1-2-3-4-5-6-8 in a field of 12 basically in the order they should have finished.  That’s 11 winners for the week, all qualified as BreezeFigs plays, 10 of which were making their debut.  Let’s see how we can do this week, but our Pick won’t be easy, see below.  Good luck!

Meanwhile, up in this continent the 2-year-old season is well under way and a half-dozen BreezeFigs horses broke their maidens, all of which were very playable.  While the 3-year-old season is officially over for us, there are two cards left over for July 1st and 2nd which are on www.drf.com so you might want to have a look at them, too, but the 2010 cards will disappear this weekend.  For now, let’s concentrate on the babies, including our spotlight race below, one of several inscrutable events on Saturday’s card. Best of luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 sales sheets have a major change in the NOTES section: The OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and that forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales.  Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don’t forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 sheets), in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study.  The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this:  When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group.  There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box.  So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races.  Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

Here’s our Pix for Saturday:

Woodbine, 2nd Race, Maiden Special Weight, 5 ½ Furlongs (Synthetic)

Four BreezeFigs fillies, three Group 1 and one Group 2, figure prominently in this one with one who’s already started, Katie Get Excited, a 120k RNA at FTFFEB having been virtually eliminated at the start of her debut.  Still with her three-over-Par Group 1 profile which featured a somewhat above average 22.85 SL on dirt, she might have to work pretty hard to keep up with the other two Group 1 fillies: Northern Passion and Las Malvegas who come out of the OBSMAR sale where both did very well.  Northern Passion was five-over-Par with a 24.21 foot SL, just about three-quarters of a foot above average for that day and sold to a clever outfit for 220k; Las Malvegas was scratched (SCR) after a four-over-Par performance that featured a 24.16 foot SL, almost a foot longer than average on that synthetic surface.   Silent Serenity breezed a quarter mile on that surface a month later in the OBSAPR sale where her 23.93 foot SL was just over a foot longer than average. This looks like it should come down to Northern Passion and La Malvegas, with the other two good gimmick plays.  Good luck!