07/27/2012 9:52AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday July 28th, 2012


Both of our Pix scored last week and led off a super week of 13 maiden 2-year-old BreezeFigs winners, plus another five on very limited opportunities on the 3-year-old cards.  When our top Pick scratched out at Saratoga, our second choice, Spurious Precision (which we misspelled, sorry) blasted his way home at $15.20, with our other Pix third and fourth.  At Del Mar, Gabriel Charles, whom we loved, was gutsy in victory at a surprising $8.80.  On Wednesday, both baby races at Del Mar were swept by BreezeFigs horses:  Bares Tripper and Serious back-to-back in the double.  On Thursday, both maidens at Delaware fell to BreezeFigs horses, including a trifecta in order of profiles in the fourth (Carol’s Jimmy, Parseghian, Arrive) and one which we would have never picked in the second (One Fast Look).  But, hey, it happened. Let’s see what’s happening today, see below.  Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 and now 2012 sales sheets have major changes in the NOTES section: For 2011, the OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and for 2012, the FTFFEB sale was moved to March, so it is now known as FTFMAR. Both of these changes forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales.  Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don’t forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 and 2012 sheets), in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study.  The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this:  When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group.  There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box.  So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races.  Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

Tons of maiden races today, here’s one which is very intriguing:

Calder Race Course, 6th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 5 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)

Four BreezeFigs horses out of OBSAPR line up here with extremely close profiles, but one stands out in our internals that you should consider very strongly.  That would be Runnin Thunder, who was an even-Par Group 1 at a quarter mile with a basically average 23.61 foot SL—but we liked the way he moved and he could be a very nice horse.  Mile High City was also even-Par at a quarter mile on a different day, and his 23.52 foot SL was a quarter foot longer than average that day.  T’s Master Table earned a Group 2, one-over-Par profile at the same distance on yet another day, but his 22.67 foot SL was almost three-quarters of a foot below average—and he was unsold (RNA) at 22k.  Mind Spell came up even-Par, Group 2 at one eighth with a 22.67 foot SL, more than three-quarters of a foot below average.  They forked over 135k for Runnin Thunder, and he might be worth it, so we’d key him and mix in the rest in what could be a key race.

Good luck!