07/15/2010 11:00PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday July 17th


Our Pick last week was pretty good—the one we thought was strictly a gimmick play was scratched, but the one we liked, Conservative Value, hammered by more than four lengths and paid $28.40. Nice $12.60 Group 1 winner at Suffolk as well that day (Jerry the Mush) while Belmont had a solid Group 2 $11.40 BreezeFigs exacta on Thursday (both firsters, Sovereign Default over Stay Thirsty). Today's card has a number of races at Colonial and Calder, but we saw a sneaky opportunity elsewhere. See below. Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2010 sales sheets have a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all . Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2–year–old sales, So sign up for DRF–Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF–PUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2–year–old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer–than–average stride lengths at the five major 2–year–old sales of 2006–07–08–09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black–type, than horses with shorter–than–average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3–year–old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2–year–old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right .

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here .

Here's our maiden selection from today's BreezeFigs card. Good luck!

Woodbine, 1st Race, Maiden Special Weight, 5 1/2 Furlongs (Synthetic)

There's probably no doubt that BreezeFigs Group 2 entrant Admitit is going to go off a solid favorite based on her nose loss in her debut, but we like another one, Descriptive, a Group 1 making her debut, to upset her. Descriptive comes out of the OBSMAR sale with a six–over–Par profile that featured a 24.53 foot SL, which was not only 1.11 feet above average for fillies that day, but also almost three feet longer than Admitit's 21.79 foot SL at the OBSAPR sale the following month on the same track, which was 1.13 feet below average for that day. Looks like a solid BreezeFigs exacta if Descriptive is ready. Good luck!