07/15/2011 9:25AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday July 16th


We are schlepping through the Hudson Valley this week and need to get on the road so this one will be a little short and sweet.  Fortunately, we can report that our Pix last week resulted in a $10 payoff on the winner, Northern Passion and $62 exacta with runner-up Katie Get Excited.  Another one, Las Malvegas, completed a $958 super for a buck, so it was a pretty nice result all around, except for the other one, Silent Serenity, who actually went off the favorite but finished last.  This week we travel to a track we’ve never visited before for an unusual Pick—see below and good luck!

Meanwhile, up in this continent the 2-year-old season is well under way and a half-dozen BreezeFigs horses broke their maidens, all of which were very playable.  While the 3-year-old season is officially over for us, there are two cards left over for July 1st and 2nd which are on www.drf.com so you might want to have a look at them, too, but the 2010 cards will disappear this weekend.  For now, let’s concentrate on the babies, including our spotlight race below, one of several inscrutable events on Saturday’s card. Best of luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 sales sheets have a major change in the NOTES section: The OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and that forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales.  Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don’t forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 sheets), in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study.  The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this:  When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group.  There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box.  So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races.  Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

Here’s our Pix for Saturday:

Evangeline Downs, 1st Race, Maiden Special Weight, 7 ½ Furlongs (Turf)

A track we don’t see that often, a distance that’s unusual this early in the year, but a horse that threw in a bullet work and comes out of OBSAPR with a four-over-Par Group 2 rating, albeit at three furlongs, a distance we note is often used to show off slow horses.  However, Indian Assault appears to have some interesting connections and he did maintain a solid stride length of 23 feet during that breeze, which was about a half-foot better than average for colts at that distance that day.  Not many of them breezed that far, but he did it nicely and may be worth a gimmick wager unless you also like what the board is telling you for straight bets.  Good luck!