07/10/2009 12:00AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday, July 11th


We're back from a week's vacation following a week during which we evaluated a lot of horses in Argentina (no snide remarks, please we did not escort any southern state governor back). During the last week, there were nine new 2-year-old BreezeFigs maiden winners, several that paid double digits, and there might have been another had not for a gate foul-up nullifying the first race at Philadelphia Park on Monday.

As we mentioned before our hiatus, the 3-year-old BreezeFigs cards ended on June 30th as always. Several of our readers have voiced their concerns about this, and we will study the trends over the summer to see if we should change the policy last year. Our reasons for ending the 3-year-old cards on June 30th are various, but mostly reflect our studies in the past which show that in most cases if a horse hasn't gotten to the races within from 15 to 18 months of when it breezed at a 2-year-old sale, it's most likely not a good betting proposition. We will look into this, as we said, for next year, but no promises.

Before we get to the business of Pix, we remember we've changed our format for the 2-year-old sheet. There are two BreezeFigs sheets for each date, one for the 3-year-olds from the 2008 sales (to be posted through June 30th), and one for the 2-year-olds from the 2009 sales. The 2009 sales sheet has a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the 2009 BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what qualified BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08, won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the .

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: .

There are a few juicy races on Saturday's card. Here's one that looks particularly interesting. Good luck!

Hollywood Park, , Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Synthetic)

This could be a key race for West Coast 2-year-olds because of the presence of a pricey number in Lookin at Lucky, who cost 475k at KEEAPR based on his very good Group 1 four-over-Par profile on a synthetic track where his SL of 25.5 feet was a foot-and-a-half longer than average. But he may get some competition from Pulsion, who comes out of OBSMAR with a Group 2 profile that is almost identical to the top one, that, too, on synthetic. There are some pricey yearlings here as well, and two other BreezeFigs horses, Forest National and Viva Macho. The former had a two-below-Par effort at FTFFEB on a dirt track, but that was at a quarter mile and that distance at an early in the year sale can sometimes tire a horse out but he was going evenly all the way. Viva Macho, on the other hand, also breezed a quarter mile, but a few weeks earlier at OBSFEB, hence his three-under-Par profile. We'd look toward the top two in our gimmicks, and watch the board to see if Forest National might be a saver. Good luck!